Yuanbao American Stock Forward View - Triple Exponential Smoothing
| YB Stock | 20.40 0.18 0.87% |
Yuanbao Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Yuanbao American stock prices and determine the direction of Yuanbao American Depositary's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Yuanbao American's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time the value of relative strength index of Yuanbao American's share price is below 20 . This entails that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.496 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.252 |
Using Yuanbao American hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Yuanbao American Depositary from the perspective of Yuanbao American response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Yuanbao American Depositary on the next trading day is expected to be 20.88 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.45 and the sum of the absolute errors of 26.78. Yuanbao American after-hype prediction price | USD 20.21 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Yuanbao American to cross-verify your projections. Yuanbao American Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Yuanbao price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Yuanbao using various technical indicators. When you analyze Yuanbao charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Yuanbao American Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 11th of February 2026
Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Yuanbao American Depositary on the next trading day is expected to be 20.88 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.45, mean absolute percentage error of 0.39, and the sum of the absolute errors of 26.78.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Yuanbao Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Yuanbao American's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Yuanbao American Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Yuanbao American | Yuanbao American Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Yuanbao American Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Yuanbao American's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Yuanbao American's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 18.14 and 23.61, respectively. We have considered Yuanbao American's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Yuanbao American stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Yuanbao American stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | Huge |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0889 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.4539 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.022 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 26.7786 |
Predictive Modules for Yuanbao American
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Yuanbao American Dep. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Yuanbao American After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Yuanbao American at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Yuanbao American or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Yuanbao American, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Yuanbao American Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Yuanbao American's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Yuanbao American's historical news coverage. Yuanbao American's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 17.45 and 22.97, respectively. We have considered Yuanbao American's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Yuanbao American is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Yuanbao American Dep is based on 3 months time horizon.
Yuanbao American Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Yuanbao American is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Yuanbao American backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Yuanbao American, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.08 | 2.74 | 0.15 | 0.02 | 4 Events / Month | 5 Events / Month | In about 4 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
20.40 | 20.21 | 0.54 |
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Yuanbao American Hype Timeline
As of February 10, 2026 Yuanbao American Dep is listed for 20.40. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.15, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.02. Yuanbao is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 20.21. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is about 146.52%. The price decline on the next news is expected to be -0.54%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.08%. The volatility of related hype on Yuanbao American is about 1434.55%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 20.42. The book value of the company was at this time reported as 72.45. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 4 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Yuanbao American to cross-verify your projections.Yuanbao American Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Yuanbao American's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Yuanbao American's future price movements. Getting to know how Yuanbao American's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Yuanbao American may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| OPBK | OP Bancorp | 0.57 | 7 per month | 1.71 | 0.02 | 3.38 | (3.25) | 11.38 | |
| KINS | Kingstone Companies | (0.19) | 8 per month | 1.73 | 0.02 | 2.85 | (2.77) | 12.13 | |
| KG | Kestrel Group | 0.38 | 1 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 10.19 | (7.94) | 23.47 | |
| SNFCA | Security National Financial | 0.01 | 7 per month | 2.04 | 0.03 | 4.77 | (3.25) | 10.13 | |
| SWKH | SWK Holdings Corp | 0.90 | 6 per month | 0.80 | 0.01 | 1.59 | (1.31) | 9.41 | |
| PMTS | CPI Card Group | (0.56) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 6.81 | (5.35) | 17.80 | |
| CPSS | Consumer Portfolio Services | 0.26 | 7 per month | 2.53 | 0.03 | 4.04 | (4.17) | 12.35 | |
| MNSB | Mainstreet Bank | 0.47 | 7 per month | 1.15 | 0.14 | 3.37 | (2.47) | 8.19 | |
| CURR | Currenc Group Ordinary | 0.07 | 5 per month | 0.00 | (0.10) | 10.24 | (8.28) | 38.85 | |
| EFSI | Eagle Financial Services | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.87 | 0.05 | 2.35 | (1.51) | 5.82 |
Other Forecasting Options for Yuanbao American
For every potential investor in Yuanbao, whether a beginner or expert, Yuanbao American's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Yuanbao Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Yuanbao. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Yuanbao American's price trends.Yuanbao American Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Yuanbao American stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Yuanbao American could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Yuanbao American by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Yuanbao American Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Yuanbao American stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Yuanbao American shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Yuanbao American stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Yuanbao American Depositary entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 1475.08 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.33) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.99 | |||
| Day Median Price | 20.34 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 20.36 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.03) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.18) |
Yuanbao American Risk Indicators
The analysis of Yuanbao American's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Yuanbao American's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting yuanbao stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.03 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.69 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.9 | |||
| Variance | 8.39 | |||
| Downside Variance | 7.73 | |||
| Semi Variance | 7.22 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (2.05) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Yuanbao American
The number of cover stories for Yuanbao American depends on current market conditions and Yuanbao American's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Yuanbao American is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Yuanbao American's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Yuanbao American Short Properties
Yuanbao American's future price predictability will typically decrease when Yuanbao American's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Yuanbao American Depositary often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Yuanbao American's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Yuanbao American's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 7.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 2.3 B |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Yuanbao American to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Insider Screener module to find insiders across different sectors to evaluate their impact on performance.
Is Software - Application space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Yuanbao American. Anticipated expansion of Yuanbao directly elevates investor willingness to pay premium valuations. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. Comprehensive Yuanbao American assessment requires weighing all these inputs, though not all factors influence outcomes equally.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.496 | Earnings Share 4.87 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.252 | Return On Assets |
Yuanbao American Dep's market price often diverges from its book value, the accounting figure shown on Yuanbao's balance sheet. Smart investors calculate Yuanbao American's intrinsic value - its true economic worth - which may differ significantly from both market price and book value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Since Yuanbao American's trading price responds to investor sentiment, macroeconomic conditions, and market psychology, it can swing far from fundamental value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Yuanbao American's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Yuanbao American is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Yuanbao American's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.