YPF Sociedad Stock Forward View
| YPF Stock | USD 39.77 1.17 3.03% |
YPF Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of YPF Sociedad's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
The relative strength index (RSI) of YPF Sociedad's stock price is roughly 63. This entails that the stock is rather overbought by investors as of 30th of January 2026. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling YPF, making its price go up or down. Momentum 63
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.86) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.6004 | EPS Estimate Current Year 1.1359 | EPS Estimate Next Year 3.423 | Wall Street Target Price 47.6167 |
Using YPF Sociedad hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of YPF Sociedad Anonima from the perspective of YPF Sociedad response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards YPF Sociedad using YPF Sociedad's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards YPF using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of YPF Sociedad's stock price.
YPF Sociedad Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in YPF Sociedad's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards YPF. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of YPF Sociedad stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 32.6703 | Short Percent 168.445 | Short Ratio 6.63 | Shares Short Prior Month 8.8 M | 50 Day MA 35.8304 |
YPF Relative Strength Index
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of YPF Sociedad Anonima on the next trading day is expected to be 42.28 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.66 and the sum of the absolute errors of 40.76.YPF Sociedad Anonima Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to YPF Sociedad's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in YPF. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding YPF can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around YPF Sociedad Anonima. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of YPF Sociedad's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about YPF Sociedad.
YPF Sociedad Implied Volatility | 0.67 |
YPF Sociedad's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of YPF Sociedad Anonima stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if YPF Sociedad's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that YPF Sociedad stock will not fluctuate a lot when YPF Sociedad's options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of YPF Sociedad Anonima on the next trading day is expected to be 42.28 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.66 and the sum of the absolute errors of 40.76. YPF Sociedad after-hype prediction price | USD 39.77 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of YPF Sociedad to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current YPF contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that YPF Sociedad Anonima will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0419% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With YPF Sociedad trading at USD 39.77, that is roughly USD 0.0167 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating YPF Sociedad's daily price movement you should consider acquiring YPF Sociedad Anonima options at the current volatility level of 0.67%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 YPF Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast YPF Sociedad's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in YPF Sociedad's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for YPF Sociedad stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current YPF Sociedad's open interest, investors have to compare it to YPF Sociedad's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of YPF Sociedad is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in YPF. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
YPF Sociedad Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine YPF price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for YPF using various technical indicators. When you analyze YPF charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
YPF Sociedad Cash Forecast
Predicting cash flow or other financial metrics requires analysts to utilize a variety of statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms. These tools help uncover hidden patterns in the YPF Sociedad's financial statements, enabling forecasts of their impact on future stock prices.
Cash | First Reported 1998-03-31 | Previous Quarter 953.3 B | Current Value 1.1 T | Quarterly Volatility 271.3 B |
YPF Sociedad Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 31st of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of YPF Sociedad Anonima on the next trading day is expected to be 42.28 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.66, mean absolute percentage error of 0.67, and the sum of the absolute errors of 40.76.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict YPF Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that YPF Sociedad's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
YPF Sociedad Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest YPF Sociedad | YPF Sociedad Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
YPF Sociedad Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting YPF Sociedad's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. YPF Sociedad's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 40.11 and 44.45, respectively. We have considered YPF Sociedad's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of YPF Sociedad stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent YPF Sociedad stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 119.5505 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.6574 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0182 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 40.7604 |
Predictive Modules for YPF Sociedad
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as YPF Sociedad Anonima. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.YPF Sociedad After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of YPF Sociedad at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in YPF Sociedad or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of YPF Sociedad, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
YPF Sociedad Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting YPF Sociedad's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on YPF Sociedad's historical news coverage. YPF Sociedad's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 37.61 and 41.93, respectively. We have considered YPF Sociedad's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
YPF Sociedad is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of YPF Sociedad Anonima is based on 3 months time horizon.
YPF Sociedad Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as YPF Sociedad is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading YPF Sociedad backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with YPF Sociedad, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.14 | 2.17 | 0.12 | 0.03 | 10 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
39.77 | 39.77 | 0.00 |
|
YPF Sociedad Hype Timeline
On the 30th of January YPF Sociedad Anonima is traded for 39.77. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.12, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.03. YPF is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.14%. %. The volatility of related hype on YPF Sociedad is about 919.49%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 39.74. About 42.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has Price to Book (P/B) ratio of 1.32. Historically many companies with similar price-to-book (P/B) ratio do better than the market in the long run. YPF Sociedad Anonima recorded a loss per share of 1.18. The entity last dividend was issued on the 9th of July 2019. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next projected press release will be in about 10 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of YPF Sociedad to cross-verify your projections.YPF Sociedad Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to YPF Sociedad's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict YPF Sociedad's future price movements. Getting to know how YPF Sociedad's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how YPF Sociedad may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| WES | Western Midstream Partners | 0.16 | 9 per month | 0.76 | 0.11 | 2.05 | (1.78) | 4.99 | |
| VNOM | Viper Energy Ut | (2.49) | 9 per month | 1.57 | 0.09 | 2.90 | (2.74) | 10.04 | |
| CTRA | Coterra Energy | 0.03 | 10 per month | 1.59 | 0.14 | 2.45 | (2.90) | 9.69 | |
| EC | Ecopetrol SA ADR | 0.12 | 11 per month | 1.72 | 0.23 | 3.15 | (3.07) | 10.93 | |
| PAA | Plains All American | 0.19 | 14 per month | 0.51 | 0.25 | 1.84 | (1.26) | 4.09 | |
| NXT | Nextracker Class A | 0.13 | 26 per month | 3.30 | 0.08 | 6.51 | (5.52) | 20.86 | |
| FTI | TechnipFMC PLC | (0.27) | 10 per month | 1.17 | 0.24 | 2.98 | (1.94) | 8.13 | |
| DTM | DT Midstream | 0.34 | 8 per month | 0.72 | 0.19 | 2.33 | (1.75) | 5.22 | |
| AR | Antero Resources Corp | (0.48) | 10 per month | 2.18 | 0.03 | 3.99 | (3.89) | 12.23 | |
| OVV | Ovintiv | (0.09) | 11 per month | 1.82 | 0.09 | 3.64 | (3.04) | 8.85 |
Other Forecasting Options for YPF Sociedad
For every potential investor in YPF, whether a beginner or expert, YPF Sociedad's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. YPF Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in YPF. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying YPF Sociedad's price trends.YPF Sociedad Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with YPF Sociedad stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of YPF Sociedad could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing YPF Sociedad by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
YPF Sociedad Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how YPF Sociedad stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading YPF Sociedad shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying YPF Sociedad stock market strength indicators, traders can identify YPF Sociedad Anonima entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
YPF Sociedad Risk Indicators
The analysis of YPF Sociedad's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in YPF Sociedad's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting ypf stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.07 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.62 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.64 | |||
| Variance | 13.27 | |||
| Downside Variance | 4.73 | |||
| Semi Variance | 2.64 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (2.40) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for YPF Sociedad
The number of cover stories for YPF Sociedad depends on current market conditions and YPF Sociedad's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that YPF Sociedad is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about YPF Sociedad's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Other Macroaxis Stories
Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios
Story Categories
Currently Trending Categories
YPF Sociedad Short Properties
YPF Sociedad's future price predictability will typically decrease when YPF Sociedad's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of YPF Sociedad Anonima often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential YPF Sociedad's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. YPF Sociedad's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 392.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.6 T |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of YPF Sociedad to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the CEOs Directory module to screen CEOs from public companies around the world.
Can Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels industry sustain growth momentum? Does YPF have expansion opportunities? Factors like these will boost the valuation of YPF Sociedad. Anticipated expansion of YPF directly elevates investor willingness to pay premium valuations. Determining accurate worth demands scrutiny of both present operating results and projected expansion capacity. Evaluating YPF Sociedad demands reviewing these metrics collectively while recognizing certain factors exert disproportionate influence.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.86) | Earnings Share (1.18) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.253 | Return On Assets |
The market value of YPF Sociedad Anonima is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of YPF that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of YPF Sociedad's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is YPF Sociedad's true underlying value. Market participants employ diverse analytical approaches to determine fair value and identify buying opportunities when prices dip below calculated worth. Because YPF Sociedad's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect YPF Sociedad's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between YPF Sociedad's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if YPF Sociedad is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. Meanwhile, YPF Sociedad's quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.