Yatra Online Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction
| YTRA Stock | USD 1.47 0.01 0.68% |
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Yatra Online on the next trading day is expected to be 1.58 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.04 and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.34. Yatra Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Yatra Online stock prices and determine the direction of Yatra Online's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Yatra Online's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
Yatra |
Yatra Online Cash Forecast
Forecasting cash, or other financial indicators, requires analysts to apply different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden patterns within the Yatra Online's financial statements to predict how it will affect future prices.
Cash | First Reported 2014-03-31 | Previous Quarter 1.2 B | Current Value 893.1 M | Quarterly Volatility 1.1 B |
Yatra Online Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 23rd of November
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Yatra Online on the next trading day is expected to be 1.58 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.04, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.34.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Yatra Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Yatra Online's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Yatra Online Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Yatra Online | Yatra Online Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Yatra Online Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Yatra Online's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Yatra Online's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.01 and 4.25, respectively. We have considered Yatra Online's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Yatra Online stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Yatra Online stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 111.9969 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0383 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0249 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 2.3365 |
Predictive Modules for Yatra Online
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Yatra Online. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Other Forecasting Options for Yatra Online
For every potential investor in Yatra, whether a beginner or expert, Yatra Online's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Yatra Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Yatra. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Yatra Online's price trends.Yatra Online Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Yatra Online stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Yatra Online could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Yatra Online by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Yatra Online Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Yatra Online's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Yatra Online's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Yatra Online Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Yatra Online stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Yatra Online shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Yatra Online stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Yatra Online entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 1478.82 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.25) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.99 | |||
| Day Median Price | 1.47 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 1.47 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.01) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.01) |
Yatra Online Risk Indicators
The analysis of Yatra Online's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Yatra Online's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting yatra stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.74 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.2 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.65 | |||
| Variance | 7.04 | |||
| Downside Variance | 7.27 | |||
| Semi Variance | 4.86 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (2.29) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Also Currently Popular
Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.When determining whether Yatra Online offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Yatra Online's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Yatra Online Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Yatra Online Stock:Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Yatra Online to cross-verify your projections. For information on how to trade Yatra Stock refer to our How to Trade Yatra Stock guide.You can also try the Odds Of Bankruptcy module to get analysis of equity chance of financial distress in the next 2 years.
Is Hotels, Resorts & Cruise Lines space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Yatra Online. If investors know Yatra will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Yatra Online listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.19) | Earnings Share (0.02) | Revenue Per Share 66.465 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.05) | Return On Assets (0.02) |
The market value of Yatra Online is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Yatra that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Yatra Online's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Yatra Online's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Yatra Online's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Yatra Online's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Yatra Online's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Yatra Online is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Yatra Online's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.