Assurant Stock Forecast - 4 Period Moving Average
| ZAS Stock | EUR 200.00 2.00 0.99% |
Assurant Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Assurant's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 26th of January 2026, The value of RSI of Assurant's share price is at 55. This usually means that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Assurant, making its price go up or down. Momentum 55
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Assurant hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Assurant from the perspective of Assurant response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Assurant on the next trading day is expected to be 200.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.27 and the sum of the absolute errors of 129.41. Assurant after-hype prediction price | EUR 200.0 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Assurant |
Assurant Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Assurant price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Assurant using various technical indicators. When you analyze Assurant charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Assurant 4 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 27th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Assurant on the next trading day is expected to be 200.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.27, mean absolute percentage error of 8.52, and the sum of the absolute errors of 129.41.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Assurant Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Assurant's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Assurant Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Assurant | Assurant Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Assurant Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Assurant's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Assurant's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 198.78 and 201.22, respectively. We have considered Assurant's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 4 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Assurant stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Assurant stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 112.9014 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.9602 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 2.2703 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0117 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 129.4075 |
Predictive Modules for Assurant
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Assurant. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Assurant After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Assurant at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Assurant or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Assurant, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Assurant Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Assurant's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Assurant's historical news coverage. Assurant's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 198.79 and 201.21, respectively. We have considered Assurant's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Assurant is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Assurant is based on 3 months time horizon.
Assurant Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Assurant is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Assurant backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Assurant, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.18 | 1.22 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | Any time |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
200.00 | 200.00 | 0.00 |
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Assurant Hype Timeline
Assurant is at this time traded for 200.00on Frankfurt Exchange of Germany. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Assurant is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.18%. %. The volatility of related hype on Assurant is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 200.00. About 98.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has Price to Book (P/B) ratio of 1.66. Historically many companies with similar price-to-book (P/B) ratio do better than the market in the long run. Assurant last dividend was issued on the 24th of February 2023. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next estimated press release will be any time. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Assurant to cross-verify your projections. For more detail on how to invest in Assurant Stock please use our How to Invest in Assurant guide.Assurant Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Assurant's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Assurant's future price movements. Getting to know how Assurant's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Assurant may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| KWO | Transport International Holdings | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 1.82 | (1.79) | 16.73 | |
| FUY | Fukuyama Transporting Co | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.17 | 0.09 | 2.42 | (1.87) | 7.98 | |
| CTO | Costco Wholesale Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.04 | (0.01) | 2.24 | (1.88) | 5.46 | |
| BUI | BURLINGTON STORES | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.47 | (0.01) | 4.27 | (4.17) | 16.53 | |
| 3GH | KAUFMAN ET BROAD | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.83 | (0.03) | 1.79 | (1.75) | 5.40 | |
| CTO0 | COSTCO WHOLESALE CDR | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.16 | 0.03 | 2.40 | (2.40) | 5.68 | |
| A2P | COPLAND ROAD CAPITAL | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.31 | 0.08 | 6.06 | (4.55) | 16.84 | |
| FR70 | FAST RETAIL ADR | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.72 | 0.04 | 3.29 | (2.55) | 10.12 |
Other Forecasting Options for Assurant
For every potential investor in Assurant, whether a beginner or expert, Assurant's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Assurant Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Assurant. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Assurant's price trends.Assurant Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Assurant stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Assurant could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Assurant by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Assurant Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Assurant stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Assurant shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Assurant stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Assurant entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.99 | |||
| Day Median Price | 200.0 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 200.0 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (1.00) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (2.00) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 55.38 |
Assurant Risk Indicators
The analysis of Assurant's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Assurant's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting assurant stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.921 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.8747 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.21 | |||
| Variance | 1.46 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1.73 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.7651 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.29) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Assurant
The number of cover stories for Assurant depends on current market conditions and Assurant's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Assurant is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Assurant's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Assurant Stock
When determining whether Assurant offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Assurant's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Assurant Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Assurant Stock:Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Assurant to cross-verify your projections. For more detail on how to invest in Assurant Stock please use our How to Invest in Assurant guide.You can also try the USA ETFs module to find actively traded Exchange Traded Funds (ETF) in USA.