Tianjin Hi (China) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 3.05

600082 Stock   3.05  0.04  1.29%   
Tianjin Hi's future price is the expected price of Tianjin Hi instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Tianjin Hi Tech Development performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Tianjin Hi Backtesting, Tianjin Hi Valuation, Tianjin Hi Correlation, Tianjin Hi Hype Analysis, Tianjin Hi Volatility, Tianjin Hi History as well as Tianjin Hi Performance.
  
Please specify Tianjin Hi's target price for which you would like Tianjin Hi odds to be computed.

Tianjin Hi Target Price Odds to finish over 3.05

The tendency of Tianjin Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 3.05 90 days 3.05 
about 9.39
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Tianjin Hi to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 9.39 (This Tianjin Hi Tech Development probability density function shows the probability of Tianjin Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Tianjin Hi has a beta of 0.16. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Tianjin Hi average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Tianjin Hi Tech Development will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Tianjin Hi Tech Development has an alpha of 0.7601, implying that it can generate a 0.76 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Tianjin Hi Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Tianjin Hi

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Tianjin Hi Tech. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.163.127.01
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.142.806.70
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Tianjin Hi. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Tianjin Hi's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Tianjin Hi's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Tianjin Hi Tech.

Tianjin Hi Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Tianjin Hi is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Tianjin Hi's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Tianjin Hi Tech Development, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Tianjin Hi within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.76
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.16
σ
Overall volatility
0.41
Ir
Information ratio 0.18

Tianjin Hi Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Tianjin Hi for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Tianjin Hi Tech can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Tianjin Hi Tech appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
About 37.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees
Latest headline from news.google.com: Research on the high-quality development of Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region based on SD model under the constraint of dual carbon target - Frontiers

Tianjin Hi Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Tianjin Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Tianjin Hi's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Tianjin Hi's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding646.1 M

Tianjin Hi Technical Analysis

Tianjin Hi's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Tianjin Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Tianjin Hi Tech Development. In general, you should focus on analyzing Tianjin Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Tianjin Hi Predictive Forecast Models

Tianjin Hi's time-series forecasting models is one of many Tianjin Hi's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Tianjin Hi's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Tianjin Hi Tech

Checking the ongoing alerts about Tianjin Hi for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Tianjin Hi Tech help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Tianjin Hi Tech appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
About 37.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees
Latest headline from news.google.com: Research on the high-quality development of Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region based on SD model under the constraint of dual carbon target - Frontiers

Other Information on Investing in Tianjin Stock

Tianjin Hi financial ratios help investors to determine whether Tianjin Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Tianjin with respect to the benefits of owning Tianjin Hi security.