Arif Habib (Pakistan) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 55.96
| AHCL Stock | 69.02 1.23 1.75% |
Arif |
Arif Habib Target Price Odds to finish below 55.96
The tendency of Arif Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 55.96 or more in 90 days |
| 69.02 | 90 days | 55.96 | about 65.14 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Arif Habib to drop to 55.96 or more in 90 days from now is about 65.14 (This Arif Habib probability density function shows the probability of Arif Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Arif Habib price to stay between 55.96 and its current price of 69.02 at the end of the 90-day period is about 34.63 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.24 . This suggests as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Arif Habib will likely underperform. Additionally Arif Habib has an alpha of 0.4297, implying that it can generate a 0.43 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Arif Habib Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Arif Habib
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Arif Habib. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Arif Habib Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Arif Habib is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Arif Habib's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Arif Habib, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Arif Habib within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.43 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.24 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 4.73 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.17 |
Arif Habib Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Arif Habib for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Arif Habib can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Arif Habib generates negative cash flow from operations |
Arif Habib Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Arif Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Arif Habib's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Arif Habib's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 408.4 M | |
| Dividends Paid | 1.2 B | |
| Short Long Term Debt | 6.5 B |
Arif Habib Technical Analysis
Arif Habib's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Arif Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Arif Habib. In general, you should focus on analyzing Arif Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Arif Habib Predictive Forecast Models
Arif Habib's time-series forecasting models is one of many Arif Habib's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Arif Habib's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Arif Habib
Checking the ongoing alerts about Arif Habib for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Arif Habib help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Arif Habib generates negative cash flow from operations |
Other Information on Investing in Arif Stock
Arif Habib financial ratios help investors to determine whether Arif Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Arif with respect to the benefits of owning Arif Habib security.