American Axle Manufacturing Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 9.00
| AXLDelisted Stock | USD 9.00 0.61 7.27% |
American |
American Axle Target Price Odds to finish over 9.00
The tendency of American Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 9.00 | 90 days | 9.00 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of American Axle to move above the current price in 90 days from now is near 1 (This American Axle Manufacturing probability density function shows the probability of American Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
American Axle Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for American Axle
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as American Axle Manufa. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of American Axle's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
American Axle Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. American Axle is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the American Axle's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold American Axle Manufacturing, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of American Axle within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.60 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.39 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.78 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.14 |
American Axle Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of American Axle for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for American Axle Manufa can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| American Axle Manufa is now traded under the symbol DCH. Please update your portfolios or report it if you believe this is an error. Report It! | |
| American Axle Manufa appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| American Axle Manufa has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| Over 96.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from prnewswire.com: Dauch Corporation Completes Acquisition of Dowlais Group plc |
American Axle Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of American Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential American Axle's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. American Axle's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 121.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 552.9 M |
American Axle Technical Analysis
American Axle's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. American Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of American Axle Manufacturing. In general, you should focus on analyzing American Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
American Axle Predictive Forecast Models
American Axle's time-series forecasting models is one of many American Axle's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary American Axle's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about American Axle Manufa
Checking the ongoing alerts about American Axle for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for American Axle Manufa help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| American Axle Manufa is now traded under the symbol DCH. Please update your portfolios or report it if you believe this is an error. Report It! | |
| American Axle Manufa appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| American Axle Manufa has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| Over 96.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from prnewswire.com: Dauch Corporation Completes Acquisition of Dowlais Group plc |
Check out American Axle Analysis, American Axle Valuation, American Axle Correlation, American Axle Hype Analysis, American Axle Volatility, American Axle Price History as well as American Axle Performance. You can also try the Pair Correlation module to compare performance and examine fundamental relationship between any two equity instruments.
Other Consideration for investing in American Stock
If you are still planning to invest in American Axle Manufa check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the American Axle's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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