Bogota Financial Corp Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 8.19
| BSBK Stock | USD 8.01 0.21 2.55% |
Bogota |
Bogota Financial Target Price Odds to finish below 8.19
The tendency of Bogota Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under $ 8.19 after 90 days |
| 8.01 | 90 days | 8.19 | about 73.96 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Bogota Financial to stay under $ 8.19 after 90 days from now is about 73.96 (This Bogota Financial Corp probability density function shows the probability of Bogota Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Bogota Financial Corp price to stay between its current price of $ 8.01 and $ 8.19 at the end of the 90-day period is about 17.73 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Bogota Financial has a beta of 0.56 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Bogota Financial average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Bogota Financial Corp will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Bogota Financial Corp has an alpha of 0.1319, implying that it can generate a 0.13 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Bogota Financial Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Bogota Financial
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Bogota Financial Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Bogota Financial Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Bogota Financial is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Bogota Financial's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Bogota Financial Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Bogota Financial within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.13 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.56 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.37 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.03 |
Bogota Financial Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Bogota Financial for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Bogota Financial Corp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Bogota Financial has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| About 68.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Bogota Financial Corp. Quarterly 10-Q Report - Quartz |
Bogota Financial Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Bogota Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Bogota Financial's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Bogota Financial's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 12.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 93.8 M |
Bogota Financial Technical Analysis
Bogota Financial's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Bogota Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Bogota Financial Corp. In general, you should focus on analyzing Bogota Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Bogota Financial Predictive Forecast Models
Bogota Financial's time-series forecasting models is one of many Bogota Financial's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Bogota Financial's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Bogota Financial Corp
Checking the ongoing alerts about Bogota Financial for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Bogota Financial Corp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Bogota Financial has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| About 68.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Bogota Financial Corp. Quarterly 10-Q Report - Quartz |
Check out Bogota Financial Backtesting, Bogota Financial Valuation, Bogota Financial Correlation, Bogota Financial Hype Analysis, Bogota Financial Volatility, Bogota Financial History as well as Bogota Financial Performance. You can also try the Portfolio Holdings module to check your current holdings and cash postion to detemine if your portfolio needs rebalancing.
Is Regional Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Bogota Financial. If investors know Bogota will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Bogota Financial listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.45) | Earnings Share (0.19) | Revenue Per Share 0.987 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.06) | Return On Assets (0) |
The market value of Bogota Financial Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Bogota that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Bogota Financial's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Bogota Financial's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Bogota Financial's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Bogota Financial's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Bogota Financial's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Bogota Financial is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Bogota Financial's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.