Cae Inc Stock Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 31.86
| CAE Stock | CAD 32.60 0.11 0.34% |
CAE |
CAE Target Price Odds to finish below 31.86
The tendency of CAE Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to C$ 31.86 or more in 90 days |
| 32.60 | 90 days | 31.86 | about 98.0 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of CAE to drop to C$ 31.86 or more in 90 days from now is about 98.0 (This CAE Inc probability density function shows the probability of CAE Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of CAE Inc price to stay between C$ 31.86 and its current price of C$32.6 at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon CAE has a beta of 0.35 suggesting as returns on the market go up, CAE average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding CAE Inc will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally CAE Inc has an alpha of 0.4277, implying that it can generate a 0.43 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). CAE Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for CAE
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as CAE Inc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.CAE Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. CAE is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the CAE's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold CAE Inc, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of CAE within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.43 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.35 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.63 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.17 |
CAE Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of CAE for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for CAE Inc can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| The company reported the revenue of 4.28 B. Net Loss for the year was (296.3 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.17 B. | |
| Over 76.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: CAE Inc. Short Interest Up 7.4 percent in October - MarketBeat |
CAE Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of CAE Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential CAE's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. CAE's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 318.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 160.1 M |
CAE Technical Analysis
CAE's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. CAE Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of CAE Inc. In general, you should focus on analyzing CAE Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
CAE Predictive Forecast Models
CAE's time-series forecasting models is one of many CAE's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary CAE's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about CAE Inc
Checking the ongoing alerts about CAE for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for CAE Inc help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| The company reported the revenue of 4.28 B. Net Loss for the year was (296.3 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.17 B. | |
| Over 76.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: CAE Inc. Short Interest Up 7.4 percent in October - MarketBeat |
Check out CAE Backtesting, CAE Valuation, CAE Correlation, CAE Hype Analysis, CAE Volatility, CAE History as well as CAE Performance. You can also try the ETFs module to find actively traded Exchange Traded Funds (ETF) from around the world.