Criteo Sa Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 38.62
| CRTO Stock | USD 38.62 0.50 1.31% |
Closest to current price Criteo long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration
Criteo |
Criteo Sa Target Price Odds to finish over 38.62
The tendency of Criteo Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 38.62 | 90 days | 38.62 | about 74.12 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Criteo Sa to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 74.12 (This Criteo Sa probability density function shows the probability of Criteo Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Criteo Sa has a beta of 0.46 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Criteo Sa average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Criteo Sa will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Criteo Sa has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Criteo Sa Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Criteo Sa
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Criteo Sa. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Criteo Sa's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Criteo Sa Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Criteo Sa is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Criteo Sa's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Criteo Sa, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Criteo Sa within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.36 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.46 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 4.05 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.12 |
Criteo Sa Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Criteo Sa for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Criteo Sa can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Criteo Sa generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Criteo Sa has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Over 99.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Criteo SA Shares Up 4.42 percent on Nov 19 |
Criteo Sa Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Criteo Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Criteo Sa's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Criteo Sa's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 60.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 417.3 M |
Criteo Sa Technical Analysis
Criteo Sa's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Criteo Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Criteo Sa. In general, you should focus on analyzing Criteo Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Criteo Sa Predictive Forecast Models
Criteo Sa's time-series forecasting models is one of many Criteo Sa's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Criteo Sa's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Criteo Sa
Checking the ongoing alerts about Criteo Sa for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Criteo Sa help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Criteo Sa generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Criteo Sa has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Over 99.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Criteo SA Shares Up 4.42 percent on Nov 19 |
Check out Criteo Sa Backtesting, Criteo Sa Valuation, Criteo Sa Correlation, Criteo Sa Hype Analysis, Criteo Sa Volatility, Criteo Sa History as well as Criteo Sa Performance. To learn how to invest in Criteo Stock, please use our How to Invest in Criteo Sa guide.You can also try the AI Portfolio Architect module to use AI to generate optimal portfolios and find profitable investment opportunities.
Is Advertising space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Criteo Sa. If investors know Criteo will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Criteo Sa listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.08) | Earnings Share 1.71 | Revenue Per Share 35.282 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.02) | Return On Assets 0.0484 |
The market value of Criteo Sa is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Criteo that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Criteo Sa's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Criteo Sa's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Criteo Sa's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Criteo Sa's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Criteo Sa's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Criteo Sa is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Criteo Sa's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.