Calibercos Class A Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0.44
| CWD Stock | 0.47 0.03 6.82% |
CaliberCos |
CaliberCos Target Price Odds to finish below 0.44
The tendency of CaliberCos Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 0.44 or more in 90 days |
| 0.47 | 90 days | 0.44 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of CaliberCos to drop to 0.44 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This CaliberCos Class A probability density function shows the probability of CaliberCos Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of CaliberCos Class A price to stay between 0.44 and its current price of 0.47 at the end of the 90-day period is about 1.48 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon CaliberCos has a beta of 0.14 suggesting as returns on the market go up, CaliberCos average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding CaliberCos Class A will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally CaliberCos Class A has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. CaliberCos Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for CaliberCos
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as CaliberCos Class A. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of CaliberCos' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
CaliberCos Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. CaliberCos is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the CaliberCos' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold CaliberCos Class A, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of CaliberCos within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.36 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.14 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.07 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.07 |
CaliberCos Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of CaliberCos for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for CaliberCos Class A can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| CaliberCos Class A generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| CaliberCos Class A has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| CaliberCos Class A has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| CaliberCos Class A has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the last year's revenue of 90.94 M. Reported Net Loss for the year was (12.62 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 0. | |
| CaliberCos generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| About 29.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Acquisition by Jade Leung of 2776 shares of CaliberCos at 0.8 subject to Rule 16b-3 |
CaliberCos Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of CaliberCos Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential CaliberCos' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. CaliberCos' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 20.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 3.8 M |
CaliberCos Technical Analysis
CaliberCos' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. CaliberCos Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of CaliberCos Class A. In general, you should focus on analyzing CaliberCos Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
CaliberCos Predictive Forecast Models
CaliberCos' time-series forecasting models is one of many CaliberCos' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary CaliberCos' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about CaliberCos Class A
Checking the ongoing alerts about CaliberCos for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for CaliberCos Class A help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| CaliberCos Class A generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| CaliberCos Class A has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| CaliberCos Class A has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| CaliberCos Class A has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the last year's revenue of 90.94 M. Reported Net Loss for the year was (12.62 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 0. | |
| CaliberCos generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| About 29.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Acquisition by Jade Leung of 2776 shares of CaliberCos at 0.8 subject to Rule 16b-3 |
Check out CaliberCos Backtesting, CaliberCos Valuation, CaliberCos Correlation, CaliberCos Hype Analysis, CaliberCos Volatility, CaliberCos History as well as CaliberCos Performance. You can also try the Headlines Timeline module to stay connected to all market stories and filter out noise. Drill down to analyze hype elasticity.
Is Asset Management & Custody Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of CaliberCos. If investors know CaliberCos will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about CaliberCos listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (0.48) | Revenue Per Share 3.357 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.60) | Return On Assets (0.06) | Return On Equity (0.30) |
The market value of CaliberCos Class A is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of CaliberCos that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of CaliberCos' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is CaliberCos' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because CaliberCos' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect CaliberCos' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between CaliberCos' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if CaliberCos is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, CaliberCos' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.