Abrdn Asia Pacific Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 2.9

FAP Stock  CAD 2.76  0.01  0.36%   
Abrdn Asia's future price is the expected price of Abrdn Asia instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of abrdn Asia Pacific performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Abrdn Asia Backtesting, Abrdn Asia Valuation, Abrdn Asia Correlation, Abrdn Asia Hype Analysis, Abrdn Asia Volatility, Abrdn Asia History as well as Abrdn Asia Performance.
  
At this time, Abrdn Asia's Price To Sales Ratio is very stable compared to the past year. As of the 26th of November 2024, Price Earnings Ratio is likely to grow to 6.62, while Price Book Value Ratio is likely to drop 0.70. Please specify Abrdn Asia's target price for which you would like Abrdn Asia odds to be computed.

Abrdn Asia Target Price Odds to finish over 2.9

The tendency of Abrdn Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over C$ 2.90  or more in 90 days
 2.76 90 days 2.90 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Abrdn Asia to move over C$ 2.90  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This abrdn Asia Pacific probability density function shows the probability of Abrdn Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of abrdn Asia Pacific price to stay between its current price of C$ 2.76  and C$ 2.90  at the end of the 90-day period is about 39.0 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon abrdn Asia Pacific has a beta of -0.0389. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Abrdn Asia are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, abrdn Asia Pacific is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Abrdn Asia Pacific has an alpha of 0.0025, implying that it can generate a 0.002502 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Abrdn Asia Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Abrdn Asia

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as abrdn Asia Pacific. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
2.112.763.41
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
1.802.453.10
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
2.102.753.40
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
2.742.772.80
Details

Abrdn Asia Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Abrdn Asia is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Abrdn Asia's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold abrdn Asia Pacific, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Abrdn Asia within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.04
σ
Overall volatility
0.04
Ir
Information ratio -0.18

Abrdn Asia Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Abrdn Asia for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for abrdn Asia Pacific can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
abrdn Asia Pacific has accumulated 54.97 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 41.8, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. abrdn Asia Pacific has a current ratio of 0.18, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Abrdn Asia until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Abrdn Asia's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like abrdn Asia Pacific sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Abrdn to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Abrdn Asia's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
Latest headline from news.google.com: abrdn Asia-Pacific Income Fund VCC Announces Monthly Distribution - Yahoo Canada Finance

Abrdn Asia Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Abrdn Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Abrdn Asia's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Abrdn Asia's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding50.7 M
Cash And Short Term Investments4.2 M

Abrdn Asia Technical Analysis

Abrdn Asia's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Abrdn Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of abrdn Asia Pacific. In general, you should focus on analyzing Abrdn Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Abrdn Asia Predictive Forecast Models

Abrdn Asia's time-series forecasting models is one of many Abrdn Asia's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Abrdn Asia's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about abrdn Asia Pacific

Checking the ongoing alerts about Abrdn Asia for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for abrdn Asia Pacific help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
abrdn Asia Pacific has accumulated 54.97 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 41.8, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. abrdn Asia Pacific has a current ratio of 0.18, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Abrdn Asia until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Abrdn Asia's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like abrdn Asia Pacific sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Abrdn to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Abrdn Asia's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
Latest headline from news.google.com: abrdn Asia-Pacific Income Fund VCC Announces Monthly Distribution - Yahoo Canada Finance

Other Information on Investing in Abrdn Stock

Abrdn Asia financial ratios help investors to determine whether Abrdn Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Abrdn with respect to the benefits of owning Abrdn Asia security.