Phoenix New Media Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 2.63
| FENG Stock | USD 2.44 0.04 1.61% |
Phoenix |
Phoenix New Target Price Odds to finish below 2.63
The tendency of Phoenix Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under $ 2.63 after 90 days |
| 2.44 | 90 days | 2.63 | about 19.11 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Phoenix New to stay under $ 2.63 after 90 days from now is about 19.11 (This Phoenix New Media probability density function shows the probability of Phoenix Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Phoenix New Media price to stay between its current price of $ 2.44 and $ 2.63 at the end of the 90-day period is about 14.73 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Phoenix New has a beta of 0.95. This usually indicates Phoenix New Media market returns are reactive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Phoenix New is expected to follow. Additionally Phoenix New Media has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Phoenix New Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Phoenix New
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Phoenix New Media. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Phoenix New Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Phoenix New is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Phoenix New's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Phoenix New Media, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Phoenix New within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.14 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.95 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.23 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.03 |
Phoenix New Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Phoenix New for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Phoenix New Media can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Phoenix New Media had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 692.02 M. Net Loss for the year was (109.11 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 237.2 M. | |
| Phoenix New Media currently holds about 1.32 B in cash with (60.83 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 108.47, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: FENG Stock Surges Amid Market Activity in Internet Information Sector |
Phoenix New Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Phoenix Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Phoenix New's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Phoenix New's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 12.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.1 B |
Phoenix New Technical Analysis
Phoenix New's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Phoenix Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Phoenix New Media. In general, you should focus on analyzing Phoenix Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Phoenix New Predictive Forecast Models
Phoenix New's time-series forecasting models is one of many Phoenix New's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Phoenix New's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Phoenix New Media
Checking the ongoing alerts about Phoenix New for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Phoenix New Media help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Phoenix New Media had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 692.02 M. Net Loss for the year was (109.11 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 237.2 M. | |
| Phoenix New Media currently holds about 1.32 B in cash with (60.83 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 108.47, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: FENG Stock Surges Amid Market Activity in Internet Information Sector |
Check out Phoenix New Backtesting, Phoenix New Valuation, Phoenix New Correlation, Phoenix New Hype Analysis, Phoenix New Volatility, Phoenix New History as well as Phoenix New Performance. You can also try the Technical Analysis module to check basic technical indicators and analysis based on most latest market data.
Is Interactive Media & Services space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Phoenix New. If investors know Phoenix will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Phoenix New listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.86) | Earnings Share (0.53) | Revenue Per Share 56.873 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.07) | Return On Assets (0.02) |
The market value of Phoenix New Media is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Phoenix that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Phoenix New's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Phoenix New's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Phoenix New's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Phoenix New's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Phoenix New's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Phoenix New is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Phoenix New's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.