Finance Of America Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 20.74

FOA Stock  USD 20.74  1.11  5.65%   
Finance Of's future price is the expected price of Finance Of instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Finance of America performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Finance Of Backtesting, Finance Of Valuation, Finance Of Correlation, Finance Of Hype Analysis, Finance Of Volatility, Finance Of History as well as Finance Of Performance.
  
The current year's Price Earnings To Growth Ratio is expected to grow to 0.02, whereas Price To Sales Ratio is forecasted to decline to 0.34. Please specify Finance Of's target price for which you would like Finance Of odds to be computed.

Finance Of Target Price Odds to finish over 20.74

The tendency of Finance Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 20.74 90 days 20.74 
roughly 2.09
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Finance Of to move above the current price in 90 days from now is roughly 2.09 (This Finance of America probability density function shows the probability of Finance Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Finance Of has a beta of 0.98. This usually indicates Finance of America market returns are sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Finance Of is expected to follow. Moreover Finance of America has an alpha of 1.8543, implying that it can generate a 1.85 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Finance Of Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Finance Of

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Finance of America. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
11.9620.7429.52
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
7.1515.9324.71
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
13.6922.4731.25
Details
2 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
2.052.252.50
Details

Finance Of Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Finance Of is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Finance Of's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Finance of America, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Finance Of within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
1.85
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.98
σ
Overall volatility
4.22
Ir
Information ratio 0.21

Finance Of Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Finance Of for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Finance of America can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Finance of America is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Finance of America appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Finance of America has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the last year's revenue of 177.03 M. Reported Net Loss for the year was (80.09 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 573.24 M.
Finance of America has about 97.36 M in cash with (71.57 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 4.38.
Roughly 31.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: UBS Group Downgrades Finance of America Companies to Neutral

Finance Of Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Finance Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Finance Of's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Finance Of's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding8.2 M
Cash And Short Term Investments46.5 M

Finance Of Technical Analysis

Finance Of's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Finance Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Finance of America. In general, you should focus on analyzing Finance Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Finance Of Predictive Forecast Models

Finance Of's time-series forecasting models is one of many Finance Of's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Finance Of's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Finance of America

Checking the ongoing alerts about Finance Of for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Finance of America help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Finance of America is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Finance of America appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Finance of America has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the last year's revenue of 177.03 M. Reported Net Loss for the year was (80.09 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 573.24 M.
Finance of America has about 97.36 M in cash with (71.57 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 4.38.
Roughly 31.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: UBS Group Downgrades Finance of America Companies to Neutral
When determining whether Finance of America offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Finance Of's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Finance Of America Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Finance Of America Stock:
Check out Finance Of Backtesting, Finance Of Valuation, Finance Of Correlation, Finance Of Hype Analysis, Finance Of Volatility, Finance Of History as well as Finance Of Performance.
You can also try the Funds Screener module to find actively-traded funds from around the world traded on over 30 global exchanges.
Is Asset Management & Custody Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Finance Of. If investors know Finance will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Finance Of listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share
14.87
Revenue Per Share
75.103
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.47)
Return On Assets
0.0128
Return On Equity
1.2656
The market value of Finance of America is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Finance that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Finance Of's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Finance Of's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Finance Of's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Finance Of's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Finance Of's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Finance Of is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Finance Of's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.