Finance Of America Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 21.66
| FOA Stock | USD 19.44 0.92 4.97% |
Finance |
Finance Of Target Price Odds to finish over 21.66
The tendency of Finance Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 21.66 or more in 90 days |
| 19.44 | 90 days | 21.66 | roughly 2.28 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Finance Of to move over $ 21.66 or more in 90 days from now is roughly 2.28 (This Finance of America probability density function shows the probability of Finance Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Finance of America price to stay between its current price of $ 19.44 and $ 21.66 at the end of the 90-day period is nearly 4.49 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Finance Of has a beta of 0.69. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Finance Of average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Finance of America will be expected to be much smaller as well. Moreover Finance of America has an alpha of 1.7606, implying that it can generate a 1.76 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Finance Of Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Finance Of
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Finance of America. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Finance Of Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Finance Of is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Finance Of's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Finance of America, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Finance Of within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 1.76 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.69 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 4.38 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.19 |
Finance Of Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Finance Of for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Finance of America can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Finance of America is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Finance of America appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Finance of America has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the last year's revenue of 234.25 M. Reported Net Loss for the year was (80.09 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 573.24 M. | |
| Finance of America has about 97.36 M in cash with (71.57 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 4.38. | |
| Finance of America has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Roughly 30.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Finance of America stock drops after downgrade to Neutral at UBS - MSN |
Finance Of Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Finance Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Finance Of's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Finance Of's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 8.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 46.5 M |
Finance Of Technical Analysis
Finance Of's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Finance Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Finance of America. In general, you should focus on analyzing Finance Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Finance Of Predictive Forecast Models
Finance Of's time-series forecasting models is one of many Finance Of's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Finance Of's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Finance of America
Checking the ongoing alerts about Finance Of for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Finance of America help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Finance of America is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Finance of America appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Finance of America has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the last year's revenue of 234.25 M. Reported Net Loss for the year was (80.09 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 573.24 M. | |
| Finance of America has about 97.36 M in cash with (71.57 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 4.38. | |
| Finance of America has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Roughly 30.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Finance of America stock drops after downgrade to Neutral at UBS - MSN |
Check out Finance Of Backtesting, Finance Of Valuation, Finance Of Correlation, Finance Of Hype Analysis, Finance Of Volatility, Finance Of History as well as Finance Of Performance. You can also try the Bonds Directory module to find actively traded corporate debentures issued by US companies.
Is Asset Management & Custody Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Finance Of. If investors know Finance will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Finance Of listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share 14.87 | Revenue Per Share 75.103 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.47) | Return On Assets 0.0128 | Return On Equity 1.2656 |
The market value of Finance of America is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Finance that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Finance Of's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Finance Of's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Finance Of's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Finance Of's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Finance Of's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Finance Of is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Finance Of's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.