Federal Screw Works Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Over 9.00
| FSCR Stock | USD 9.00 0.30 3.23% |
Federal |
Federal Screw Target Price Odds to finish over 9.00
The tendency of Federal Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 9.00 | 90 days | 9.00 | about 77.06 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Federal Screw to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 77.06 (This Federal Screw Works probability density function shows the probability of Federal Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Federal Screw has a beta of 0.0576. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Federal Screw average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Federal Screw Works will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Federal Screw Works has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Federal Screw Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Federal Screw
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Federal Screw Works. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Federal Screw's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Federal Screw Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Federal Screw is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Federal Screw's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Federal Screw Works, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Federal Screw within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.08 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.06 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.54 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.05 |
Federal Screw Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Federal Screw for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Federal Screw Works can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Federal Screw Works generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 59.2 M. Net Loss for the year was (2.03 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 298.37 K. |
Federal Screw Technical Analysis
Federal Screw's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Federal Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Federal Screw Works. In general, you should focus on analyzing Federal Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Federal Screw Predictive Forecast Models
Federal Screw's time-series forecasting models is one of many Federal Screw's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Federal Screw's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Federal Screw Works
Checking the ongoing alerts about Federal Screw for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Federal Screw Works help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Federal Screw Works generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 59.2 M. Net Loss for the year was (2.03 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 298.37 K. |
Additional Tools for Federal Pink Sheet Analysis
When running Federal Screw's price analysis, check to measure Federal Screw's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Federal Screw is operating at the current time. Most of Federal Screw's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Federal Screw's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Federal Screw's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Federal Screw to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.