Federal Screw Works Stock Performance

FSCR Stock  USD 9.80  0.30  3.16%   
Federal Screw has a performance score of 1 on a scale of 0 to 100. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.0302, which means not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Federal Screw's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Federal Screw is expected to be smaller as well. Federal Screw Works right now shows a risk of 2.07%. Please confirm Federal Screw Works maximum drawdown, and the relationship between the information ratio and expected short fall , to decide if Federal Screw Works will be following its price patterns.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weak

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Federal Screw Works are ranked lower than 1 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Even with relatively invariable fundamental indicators, Federal Screw is not utilizing all of its potentials. The newest stock price agitation, may contribute to short-term losses for the retail investors. ...more
  

Federal Screw Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  970.00  in Federal Screw Works on November 11, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  10.00  from holding Federal Screw Works or generate 1.03% return on investment over 90 days. Federal Screw Works is currently generating 0.0383% in daily expected returns and assumes 2.0746% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 18% of pink sheets are less volatile than Federal, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Federal Screw is expected to generate 1.99 times less return on investment than the market. In addition to that, the company is 2.57 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.02 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.09 per unit of volatility.

Federal Screw Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Federal Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 9.80 90 days 9.80 
about 13.09
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Federal Screw to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 13.09 (This Federal Screw Works probability density function shows the probability of Federal Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Federal Screw has a beta of 0.0302. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Federal Screw average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Federal Screw Works will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Federal Screw Works has an alpha of 0.023, implying that it can generate a 0.023 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Federal Screw Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Federal Screw

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Federal Screw Works. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Federal Screw's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
7.739.8011.87
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
5.897.9610.03
Details

Federal Screw Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Federal Screw is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Federal Screw's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Federal Screw Works, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Federal Screw within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.02
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.03
σ
Overall volatility
0.41
Ir
Information ratio -0.03

Federal Screw Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Federal Screw for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Federal Screw Works can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 59.2 M. Net Loss for the year was (2.03 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 298.37 K.

Federal Screw Fundamentals Growth

Federal Pink Sheet prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Federal Screw, and Federal Screw fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Federal Pink Sheet performance.

About Federal Screw Performance

Assessing Federal Screw's fundamental ratios provides investors with valuable insights into Federal Screw's financial health and overall profitability. This information is crucial for making informed investment decisions. A high ROA would indicate that the Federal Screw is effectively leveraging its assets and equity to generate significant profits, making it an appealing investment. Conversely, low Return on Assets could signal underlying management issues in assets and equity, indicating a necessity for operational refinements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
Federal Screw Works manufactures and sells industrial component parts primarily to the automobile industry in the United States. Federal Screw Works was founded in 1917 and is based in Romulus, Michigan. Federal Screw operates under Tools Accessories classification in the United States and is traded on OTC Exchange. It employs 184 people.

Things to note about Federal Screw Works performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Federal Screw for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Pink Sheet alerts and notifications screener for Federal Screw Works help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 59.2 M. Net Loss for the year was (2.03 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 298.37 K.
Evaluating Federal Screw's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Federal Screw's pink sheet performance include:
  • Analyzing Federal Screw's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Federal Screw's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Federal Screw's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Federal Screw's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Federal Screw's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Federal Screw's pink sheet. These opinions can provide insight into Federal Screw's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Federal Screw's pink sheet performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Federal Screw's pink sheet market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Additional Tools for Federal Pink Sheet Analysis

When running Federal Screw's price analysis, check to measure Federal Screw's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Federal Screw is operating at the current time. Most of Federal Screw's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Federal Screw's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Federal Screw's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Federal Screw to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.