Six Flags Entertainment Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 18.57
| FUN Stock | USD 18.57 0.76 4.27% |
Closest to current price Six long PUT Option Payoff at Expiration
Six Flags Target Price Odds to finish over 18.57
The tendency of Six Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 18.57 | 90 days | 18.57 | about 12.98 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Six Flags to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 12.98 (This Six Flags Entertainment probability density function shows the probability of Six Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Six Flags Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Six Flags
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Six Flags Entertainment. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Six Flags' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Six Flags Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Six Flags is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Six Flags' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Six Flags Entertainment, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Six Flags within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.21 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.72 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.20 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.07 |
Six Flags Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Six Flags for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Six Flags Entertainment can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Six Flags had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Six Flags has accumulated $5.16 Billion in debt which can lead to volatile earnings | |
| Six Flags Entertainment has 5.16 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 76.24, demonstrating that the company may be unable to create cash to meet all of its financial commitments. Six Flags Entertainment has a current ratio of 0.92, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Note however, debt could still be an excellent tool for Six to invest in growth at high rates of return. | |
| The entity reported the last year's revenue of 2.71 B. Reported Net Loss for the year was (206.66 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 1.18 B. | |
| Over 98.0% of Six Flags shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from simplywall.st: Six Flags Entertainment Valuation After US1b Debt Refinancing And Extended Maturities |
Six Flags Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Six Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Six Flags' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Six Flags' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 100.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 83.2 M |
Six Flags Technical Analysis
Six Flags' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Six Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Six Flags Entertainment. In general, you should focus on analyzing Six Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Six Flags Predictive Forecast Models
Six Flags' time-series forecasting models is one of many Six Flags' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Six Flags' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Six Flags Entertainment
Checking the ongoing alerts about Six Flags for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Six Flags Entertainment help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Six Flags had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Six Flags has accumulated $5.16 Billion in debt which can lead to volatile earnings | |
| Six Flags Entertainment has 5.16 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 76.24, demonstrating that the company may be unable to create cash to meet all of its financial commitments. Six Flags Entertainment has a current ratio of 0.92, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Note however, debt could still be an excellent tool for Six to invest in growth at high rates of return. | |
| The entity reported the last year's revenue of 2.71 B. Reported Net Loss for the year was (206.66 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 1.18 B. | |
| Over 98.0% of Six Flags shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from simplywall.st: Six Flags Entertainment Valuation After US1b Debt Refinancing And Extended Maturities |
Check out Six Flags Analysis, Six Flags Valuation, Six Flags Correlation, Six Flags Hype Analysis, Six Flags Volatility, Six Flags Price History as well as Six Flags Performance. You can also try the Equity Analysis module to research over 250,000 global equities including funds, stocks and ETFs to find investment opportunities.
Will Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure sector continue expanding? Could Six diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Six Flags. Market participants price Six higher when confident in its future expansion prospects. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Six Flags data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.74) | Earnings Share (19.50) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.02) | Return On Assets |
Six Flags Entertainment's market price often diverges from its book value, the accounting figure shown on Six's balance sheet. Smart investors calculate Six Flags' intrinsic value - its true economic worth - which may differ significantly from both market price and book value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Since Six Flags' trading price responds to investor sentiment, macroeconomic conditions, and market psychology, it can swing far from fundamental value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Six Flags' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Six Flags is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Six Flags' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.