New Germany Closed Fund Probability of Future Fund Price Finishing Under 4.98

GF Fund  USD 7.97  0.08  0.99%   
New Germany's future price is the expected price of New Germany instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of New Germany Closed performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out New Germany Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, New Germany Correlation, New Germany Hype Analysis, New Germany Volatility, New Germany History as well as New Germany Performance.
  
Please specify New Germany's target price for which you would like New Germany odds to be computed.

New Germany Target Price Odds to finish below 4.98

The tendency of New Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 4.98  or more in 90 days
 7.97 90 days 4.98 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of New Germany to drop to $ 4.98  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This New Germany Closed probability density function shows the probability of New Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of New Germany Closed price to stay between $ 4.98  and its current price of $7.97 at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon New Germany Closed has a beta of -0.0043. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding New Germany are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, New Germany Closed is likely to outperform the market. Additionally New Germany Closed has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   New Germany Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for New Germany

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as New Germany Closed. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
6.977.978.97
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
7.838.839.83
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
6.827.828.82
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
7.938.388.83
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as New Germany. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against New Germany's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, New Germany's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in New Germany Closed.

New Germany Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. New Germany is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the New Germany's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold New Germany Closed, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of New Germany within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.08
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.0043
σ
Overall volatility
0.21
Ir
Information ratio -0.17

New Germany Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of New Germany for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for New Germany Closed can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
New Germany Closed generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Latest headline from news.google.com: DAF continues to make progress in annual audit - Space Force
New Germany Closed produced five year return of -1.0%

New Germany Technical Analysis

New Germany's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. New Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of New Germany Closed. In general, you should focus on analyzing New Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

New Germany Predictive Forecast Models

New Germany's time-series forecasting models is one of many New Germany's fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary New Germany's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about New Germany Closed

Checking the ongoing alerts about New Germany for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for New Germany Closed help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
New Germany Closed generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Latest headline from news.google.com: DAF continues to make progress in annual audit - Space Force
New Germany Closed produced five year return of -1.0%

Other Information on Investing in New Fund

New Germany financial ratios help investors to determine whether New Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in New with respect to the benefits of owning New Germany security.
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