Aman Agrindo (Indonesia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 337.56
| GULA Stock | 348.00 4.00 1.14% |
Aman |
Aman Agrindo Target Price Odds to finish over 337.56
The tendency of Aman Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above 337.56 in 90 days |
| 348.00 | 90 days | 337.56 | about 73.96 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Aman Agrindo to stay above 337.56 in 90 days from now is about 73.96 (This Aman Agrindo probability density function shows the probability of Aman Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Aman Agrindo price to stay between 337.56 and its current price of 348.0 at the end of the 90-day period is roughly 2.18 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.97 . This usually indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Aman Agrindo will likely underperform. Additionally Aman Agrindo has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Aman Agrindo Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Aman Agrindo
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Aman Agrindo. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Aman Agrindo Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Aman Agrindo is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Aman Agrindo's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Aman Agrindo, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Aman Agrindo within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -1.68 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.97 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 158.89 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.32 |
Aman Agrindo Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Aman Agrindo for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Aman Agrindo can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Aman Agrindo generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Aman Agrindo has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Aman Agrindo generates negative cash flow from operations |
Aman Agrindo Technical Analysis
Aman Agrindo's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Aman Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Aman Agrindo. In general, you should focus on analyzing Aman Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Aman Agrindo Predictive Forecast Models
Aman Agrindo's time-series forecasting models is one of many Aman Agrindo's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Aman Agrindo's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Aman Agrindo
Checking the ongoing alerts about Aman Agrindo for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Aman Agrindo help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Aman Agrindo generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Aman Agrindo has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Aman Agrindo generates negative cash flow from operations |
Other Information on Investing in Aman Stock
Aman Agrindo financial ratios help investors to determine whether Aman Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Aman with respect to the benefits of owning Aman Agrindo security.