Kentucky First Federal Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 3.17
| KFFB Stock | USD 2.64 0.06 2.33% |
Kentucky |
Kentucky First Target Price Odds to finish over 3.17
The tendency of Kentucky Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 3.17 or more in 90 days |
| 2.64 | 90 days | 3.17 | about 15.87 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Kentucky First to move over $ 3.17 or more in 90 days from now is about 15.87 (This Kentucky First Federal probability density function shows the probability of Kentucky Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Kentucky First Federal price to stay between its current price of $ 2.64 and $ 3.17 at the end of the 90-day period is about 65.53 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Kentucky First has a beta of 0.69. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Kentucky First average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Kentucky First Federal will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Kentucky First Federal has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Kentucky First Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Kentucky First
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Kentucky First Federal. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Kentucky First Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Kentucky First is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Kentucky First's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Kentucky First Federal, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Kentucky First within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.37 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.69 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.28 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.12 |
Kentucky First Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Kentucky First for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Kentucky First Federal can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Kentucky First generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Kentucky First has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Kentucky First has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 7.22 M. Net Loss for the year was (1.72 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 9.04 M. | |
| Kentucky First Federal currently holds about 25.82 M in cash with (1.45 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 3.17, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Kentucky First has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Roughly 62.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: KFFB Stock Dips Amid Market Fluctuations |
Kentucky First Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Kentucky Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Kentucky First's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Kentucky First's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 8.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 18.3 M |
Kentucky First Technical Analysis
Kentucky First's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Kentucky Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Kentucky First Federal. In general, you should focus on analyzing Kentucky Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Kentucky First Predictive Forecast Models
Kentucky First's time-series forecasting models is one of many Kentucky First's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Kentucky First's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Kentucky First Federal
Checking the ongoing alerts about Kentucky First for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Kentucky First Federal help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Kentucky First generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Kentucky First has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Kentucky First has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 7.22 M. Net Loss for the year was (1.72 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 9.04 M. | |
| Kentucky First Federal currently holds about 25.82 M in cash with (1.45 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 3.17, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Kentucky First has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Roughly 62.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: KFFB Stock Dips Amid Market Fluctuations |
Check out Kentucky First Backtesting, Kentucky First Valuation, Kentucky First Correlation, Kentucky First Hype Analysis, Kentucky First Volatility, Kentucky First History as well as Kentucky First Performance. You can also try the My Watchlist Analysis module to analyze my current watchlist and to refresh optimization strategy. Macroaxis watchlist is based on self-learning algorithm to remember stocks you like.
Is Regional Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Kentucky First. If investors know Kentucky will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Kentucky First listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.74) | Earnings Share (0.19) | Revenue Per Share 0.892 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.04) | Return On Assets (0) |
The market value of Kentucky First Federal is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Kentucky that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Kentucky First's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Kentucky First's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Kentucky First's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Kentucky First's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Kentucky First's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Kentucky First is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Kentucky First's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.