Kentucky First Stock Forward View
| KFFB Stock | USD 4.69 0.19 4.22% |
Kentucky Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Kentucky First stock prices and determine the direction of Kentucky First Federal's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Kentucky First's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time, The relative strength index (RSI) of Kentucky First's share price is at 55. This indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Kentucky First, making its price go up or down. Momentum 55
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.74) | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.334 |
Using Kentucky First hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Kentucky First Federal from the perspective of Kentucky First response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Kentucky First Federal on the next trading day is expected to be 4.78 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.13 and the sum of the absolute errors of 8.07. Kentucky First after-hype prediction price | USD 4.59 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Kentucky First to cross-verify your projections. Kentucky First Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Kentucky price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Kentucky using various technical indicators. When you analyze Kentucky charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Kentucky First Cash Forecast
Forecasting cash, or other financial indicators, requires analysts to apply different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden patterns within the Kentucky First's financial statements to predict how it will affect future prices.
Cash | First Reported 2003-06-30 | Previous Quarter 19.5 M | Current Value 1.9 M | Quarterly Volatility 6 M |
Kentucky First Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 31st of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Kentucky First Federal on the next trading day is expected to be 4.78 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.13, mean absolute percentage error of 0.03, and the sum of the absolute errors of 8.07.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Kentucky Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Kentucky First's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Kentucky First Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Kentucky First | Kentucky First Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Kentucky First Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Kentucky First's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Kentucky First's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.58 and 8.97, respectively. We have considered Kentucky First's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Kentucky First stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Kentucky First stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 114.552 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.1323 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0304 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 8.0718 |
Predictive Modules for Kentucky First
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Kentucky First Federal. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Kentucky First After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Kentucky First at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Kentucky First or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Kentucky First, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Kentucky First Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Kentucky First's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Kentucky First's historical news coverage. Kentucky First's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.39 and 8.79, respectively. We have considered Kentucky First's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Kentucky First is unstable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Kentucky First Federal is based on 3 months time horizon.
Kentucky First Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Kentucky First is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Kentucky First backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Kentucky First, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.37 | 4.20 | 0.10 | 0.03 | 8 Events / Month | 4 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
4.69 | 4.59 | 2.13 |
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Kentucky First Hype Timeline
Kentucky First Federal is now traded for 4.69. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.1, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.03. Kentucky is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 4.59. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -2.13%, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.37%. The volatility of related hype on Kentucky First is about 5060.24%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 4.66. About 62.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.76. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Kentucky First Federal last dividend was issued on the 30th of October 2023. The entity had 2349:1000 split on the 3rd of March 2005. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 8 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Kentucky First to cross-verify your projections.Kentucky First Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Kentucky First's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Kentucky First's future price movements. Getting to know how Kentucky First's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Kentucky First may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| MBBC | Marathon Bancorp Common | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.32 | 0.10 | 3.46 | (2.55) | 8.12 | |
| BAFN | Bayfirst Financial Corp | (0.14) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.23) | 3.08 | (6.08) | 13.03 | |
| ATMV | ATMV Old | 0.26 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.01) | 21.92 | (16.88) | 92.48 | |
| ZBAO | Zhibao Technology Class | (0.07) | 5 per month | 5.64 | 0.03 | 12.22 | (9.43) | 52.54 | |
| LCAP | Principal Capital Appreciation | (0.05) | 5 per month | 0.89 | (0.01) | 1.20 | (1.65) | 6.08 | |
| GROW | US Global Investors | (0.04) | 10 per month | 1.49 | 0.15 | 7.36 | (2.90) | 10.67 | |
| AHG | Akso Health Group | (0.06) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 11.59 | (7.10) | 26.06 | |
| GREE | Greenidge Generation Holdings | 0.01 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 9.09 | (9.88) | 57.17 | |
| BOWN | Bowen Acquisition Corp | 0.00 | 7 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| HFBL | Home Federal Bancorp | (0.74) | 8 per month | 3.28 | 0.11 | 6.92 | (3.85) | 21.76 |
Other Forecasting Options for Kentucky First
For every potential investor in Kentucky, whether a beginner or expert, Kentucky First's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Kentucky Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Kentucky. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Kentucky First's price trends.Kentucky First Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Kentucky First stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Kentucky First could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Kentucky First by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Kentucky First Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Kentucky First stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Kentucky First shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Kentucky First stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Kentucky First Federal entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Kentucky First Risk Indicators
The analysis of Kentucky First's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Kentucky First's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting kentucky stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 3.33 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 3.75 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 4.17 | |||
| Variance | 17.43 | |||
| Downside Variance | 17.54 | |||
| Semi Variance | 14.07 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (3.80) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Kentucky First
The number of cover stories for Kentucky First depends on current market conditions and Kentucky First's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Kentucky First is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Kentucky First's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Kentucky First Short Properties
Kentucky First's future price predictability will typically decrease when Kentucky First's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Kentucky First Federal often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Kentucky First's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Kentucky First's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 8.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 29.4 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Kentucky First to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the FinTech Suite module to use AI to screen and filter profitable investment opportunities.
Is Regional Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Kentucky First. Expected growth trajectory for Kentucky significantly influences the price investors are willing to assign. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. Comprehensive Kentucky First assessment requires weighing all these inputs, though not all factors influence outcomes equally.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.74) | Earnings Share 0.06 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.334 | Return On Assets |
Investors evaluate Kentucky First Federal using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating Kentucky First's intrinsic value—the estimated true worth—helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause Kentucky First's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
Understanding that Kentucky First's value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether Kentucky First represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. Conversely, Kentucky First's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.