Lanvin Group Holdings Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 1.59
| LANV Stock | 1.56 0.03 1.89% |
Lanvin |
Lanvin Group Target Price Odds to finish below 1.59
The tendency of Lanvin Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under 1.59 after 90 days |
| 1.56 | 90 days | 1.59 | about 15.75 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Lanvin Group to stay under 1.59 after 90 days from now is about 15.75 (This Lanvin Group Holdings probability density function shows the probability of Lanvin Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Lanvin Group Holdings price to stay between its current price of 1.56 and 1.59 at the end of the 90-day period is about 5.71 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Lanvin Group Holdings has a beta of -0.7. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Lanvin Group are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Lanvin Group Holdings is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Lanvin Group Holdings has an alpha of 0.3184, implying that it can generate a 0.32 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Lanvin Group Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Lanvin Group
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Lanvin Group Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Lanvin Group Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Lanvin Group is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Lanvin Group's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Lanvin Group Holdings, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Lanvin Group within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.32 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.7 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.11 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.03 |
Lanvin Group Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Lanvin Group for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Lanvin Group Holdings can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Lanvin Group generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Lanvin Group has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Lanvin Group may become a speculative penny stock | |
| Lanvin Group has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 426.18 M. Net Loss for the year was (146.25 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 237.94 M. | |
| Lanvin Group generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| Lanvin Group has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| About 69.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Lanvin Group Holdings Limited to Hold Annual General Meeting on December 11, 2024 |
Lanvin Group Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Lanvin Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Lanvin Group's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Lanvin Group's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 131.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 28.1 M |
Lanvin Group Technical Analysis
Lanvin Group's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Lanvin Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Lanvin Group Holdings. In general, you should focus on analyzing Lanvin Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Lanvin Group Predictive Forecast Models
Lanvin Group's time-series forecasting models is one of many Lanvin Group's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Lanvin Group's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Lanvin Group Holdings
Checking the ongoing alerts about Lanvin Group for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Lanvin Group Holdings help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Lanvin Group generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Lanvin Group has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Lanvin Group may become a speculative penny stock | |
| Lanvin Group has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 426.18 M. Net Loss for the year was (146.25 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 237.94 M. | |
| Lanvin Group generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| Lanvin Group has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| About 69.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Lanvin Group Holdings Limited to Hold Annual General Meeting on December 11, 2024 |
Additional Tools for Lanvin Stock Analysis
When running Lanvin Group's price analysis, check to measure Lanvin Group's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Lanvin Group is operating at the current time. Most of Lanvin Group's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Lanvin Group's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Lanvin Group's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Lanvin Group to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.