Lanvin Group Stock Forecast - Simple Regression

LANV Stock   1.56  0.03  1.89%   
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Lanvin Group Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 1.60 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.07 and the sum of the absolute errors of 4.25. Lanvin Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
Receivables Turnover is likely to climb to 9.83 in 2024, whereas Inventory Turnover is likely to drop 1.24 in 2024. . Common Stock Shares Outstanding is likely to drop to about 98.8 M in 2024. Net Loss is likely to drop to about (206.3 M) in 2024.
Simple Regression model is a single variable regression model that attempts to put a straight line through Lanvin Group price points. This line is defined by its gradient or slope, and the point at which it intercepts the x-axis. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, then this line can be represented as: Y = intercept + slope * X.

Lanvin Group Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 26th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Lanvin Group Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 1.60 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.07, mean absolute percentage error of 0.01, and the sum of the absolute errors of 4.25.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Lanvin Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Lanvin Group's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Lanvin Group Stock Forecast Pattern

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Lanvin Group Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Lanvin Group's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Lanvin Group's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.02 and 7.35, respectively. We have considered Lanvin Group's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
1.56
1.60
Expected Value
7.35
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Lanvin Group stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Lanvin Group stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria113.4215
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0696
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0414
SAESum of the absolute errors4.2481
In general, regression methods applied to historical equity returns or prices series is an area of active research. In recent decades, new methods have been developed for robust regression of price series such as Lanvin Group Holdings historical returns. These new methods are regression involving correlated responses such as growth curves and different regression methods accommodating various types of missing data.

Predictive Modules for Lanvin Group

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Lanvin Group Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.081.587.32
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.122.388.12
Details
2 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
4.595.045.59
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Lanvin Group

For every potential investor in Lanvin, whether a beginner or expert, Lanvin Group's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Lanvin Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Lanvin. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Lanvin Group's price trends.

Lanvin Group Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Lanvin Group stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Lanvin Group could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Lanvin Group by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Lanvin Group Holdings Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Lanvin Group's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Lanvin Group's current price.

Lanvin Group Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Lanvin Group stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Lanvin Group shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Lanvin Group stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Lanvin Group Holdings entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Lanvin Group Risk Indicators

The analysis of Lanvin Group's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Lanvin Group's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting lanvin stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Thematic Opportunities

Explore Investment Opportunities

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Additional Tools for Lanvin Stock Analysis

When running Lanvin Group's price analysis, check to measure Lanvin Group's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Lanvin Group is operating at the current time. Most of Lanvin Group's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Lanvin Group's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Lanvin Group's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Lanvin Group to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.