Lands End Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 11.95
| LE Stock | USD 15.33 0.38 2.54% |
Lands |
Lands End Target Price Odds to finish below 11.95
The tendency of Lands Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 11.95 or more in 90 days |
| 15.33 | 90 days | 11.95 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Lands End to drop to $ 11.95 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Lands End probability density function shows the probability of Lands Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Lands End price to stay between $ 11.95 and its current price of $15.33 at the end of the 90-day period is about 25.97 .
Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 2.27 . This indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Lands End will likely underperform. Additionally Lands End has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Lands End Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Lands End
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Lands End. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Lands End's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Lands End Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Lands End is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Lands End's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Lands End, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Lands End within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.18 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 2.27 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.15 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.0068 |
Lands End Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Lands End for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Lands End can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Lands End generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Lands End has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| The company generated the yearly revenue of 1.47 B. Annual Net Loss to common stockholders was (130.68 M) with gross profit of 593.77 M. | |
| Lands End has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| About 63.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Lands End Announces Third Quarter 2024 Earnings Conference Call |
Lands End Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Lands Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Lands End's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Lands End's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 32 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 25.3 M |
Lands End Technical Analysis
Lands End's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Lands Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Lands End. In general, you should focus on analyzing Lands Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Lands End Predictive Forecast Models
Lands End's time-series forecasting models is one of many Lands End's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Lands End's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Lands End
Checking the ongoing alerts about Lands End for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Lands End help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Lands End generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Lands End has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| The company generated the yearly revenue of 1.47 B. Annual Net Loss to common stockholders was (130.68 M) with gross profit of 593.77 M. | |
| Lands End has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| About 63.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Lands End Announces Third Quarter 2024 Earnings Conference Call |
Check out Lands End Backtesting, Lands End Valuation, Lands End Correlation, Lands End Hype Analysis, Lands End Volatility, Lands End History as well as Lands End Performance. For information on how to trade Lands Stock refer to our How to Trade Lands Stock guide.You can also try the Price Transformation module to use Price Transformation models to analyze the depth of different equity instruments across global markets.
Is Specialty Retail space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Lands End. If investors know Lands will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Lands End listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.65) | Earnings Share (4.16) | Revenue Per Share 45.736 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.02) | Return On Assets 0.0193 |
The market value of Lands End is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Lands that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Lands End's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Lands End's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Lands End's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Lands End's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Lands End's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Lands End is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Lands End's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.