Semileds Stock Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 20.95
| LEDS Stock | USD 1.29 0.01 0.78% |
SemiLEDS |
SemiLEDS Target Price Odds to finish over 20.95
The tendency of SemiLEDS Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 20.95 or more in 90 days |
| 1.29 | 90 days | 20.95 | close to zero percent |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of SemiLEDS to move over $ 20.95 or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This SemiLEDS probability density function shows the probability of SemiLEDS Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of SemiLEDS price to stay between its current price of $ 1.29 and $ 20.95 at the end of the 90-day period is about 36.97 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days SemiLEDS has a beta of 0.87. This indicates SemiLEDS market returns are related to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, SemiLEDS is expected to follow. Additionally SemiLEDS has an alpha of 0.034, implying that it can generate a 0.034 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). SemiLEDS Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for SemiLEDS
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as SemiLEDS. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of SemiLEDS's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
SemiLEDS Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. SemiLEDS is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the SemiLEDS's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold SemiLEDS, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of SemiLEDS within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.03 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.87 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.09 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0 |
SemiLEDS Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of SemiLEDS for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for SemiLEDS can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| SemiLEDS had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| SemiLEDS may become a speculative penny stock | |
| SemiLEDS has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| SemiLEDS currently holds 7.74 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 2.53, implying the company greatly relies on financing operations through barrowing. SemiLEDS has a current ratio of 0.95, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about SemiLEDS's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the previous year's revenue of 5.98 M. Net Loss for the year was (2.69 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.4 M. | |
| SemiLEDS currently holds about 3.02 M in cash with (984 K) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.67. | |
| SemiLEDS has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Roughly 53.0% of SemiLEDS outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: SemiLEDs Now Covered by StockNews.com - Defense World |
SemiLEDS Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of SemiLEDS Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential SemiLEDS's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. SemiLEDS's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 4.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 2.6 M |
SemiLEDS Technical Analysis
SemiLEDS's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. SemiLEDS Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of SemiLEDS. In general, you should focus on analyzing SemiLEDS Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
SemiLEDS Predictive Forecast Models
SemiLEDS's time-series forecasting models is one of many SemiLEDS's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary SemiLEDS's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about SemiLEDS
Checking the ongoing alerts about SemiLEDS for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for SemiLEDS help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| SemiLEDS had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| SemiLEDS may become a speculative penny stock | |
| SemiLEDS has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| SemiLEDS currently holds 7.74 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 2.53, implying the company greatly relies on financing operations through barrowing. SemiLEDS has a current ratio of 0.95, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about SemiLEDS's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the previous year's revenue of 5.98 M. Net Loss for the year was (2.69 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.4 M. | |
| SemiLEDS currently holds about 3.02 M in cash with (984 K) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.67. | |
| SemiLEDS has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Roughly 53.0% of SemiLEDS outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: SemiLEDs Now Covered by StockNews.com - Defense World |
Additional Tools for SemiLEDS Stock Analysis
When running SemiLEDS's price analysis, check to measure SemiLEDS's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy SemiLEDS is operating at the current time. Most of SemiLEDS's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of SemiLEDS's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move SemiLEDS's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of SemiLEDS to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.