Loral Sa Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Under 304.64
| LRLCF Stock | USD 340.10 1.58 0.46% |
LOréal |
LOréal SA Target Price Odds to finish below 304.64
The tendency of LOréal Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 304.64 or more in 90 days |
| 340.10 | 90 days | 304.64 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of LOréal SA to drop to $ 304.64 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This LOral SA probability density function shows the probability of LOréal Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of LOréal SA price to stay between $ 304.64 and its current price of $340.1 at the end of the 90-day period is roughly 2.64 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon LOral SA has a beta of -0.16. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding LOréal SA are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, LOral SA is likely to outperform the market. Additionally LOral SA has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. LOréal SA Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for LOréal SA
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as LOréal SA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of LOréal SA's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
LOréal SA Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. LOréal SA is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the LOréal SA's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold LOral SA, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of LOréal SA within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.33 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.16 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 32.24 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.2 |
LOréal SA Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of LOréal SA for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for LOréal SA can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| LOréal SA generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| LOral SA has accumulated 10.7 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.31, which is about average as compared to similar companies. LOréal SA has a current ratio of 0.91, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist LOréal SA until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, LOréal SA's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like LOréal SA sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for LOréal to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about LOréal SA's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| About 63.0% of LOréal SA outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
LOréal SA Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of LOréal Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential LOréal SA's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. LOréal SA's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 535.4 M |
LOréal SA Technical Analysis
LOréal SA's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. LOréal Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of LOral SA. In general, you should focus on analyzing LOréal Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
LOréal SA Predictive Forecast Models
LOréal SA's time-series forecasting models is one of many LOréal SA's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary LOréal SA's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about LOréal SA
Checking the ongoing alerts about LOréal SA for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for LOréal SA help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| LOréal SA generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| LOral SA has accumulated 10.7 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.31, which is about average as compared to similar companies. LOréal SA has a current ratio of 0.91, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist LOréal SA until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, LOréal SA's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like LOréal SA sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for LOréal to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about LOréal SA's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| About 63.0% of LOréal SA outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Other Information on Investing in LOréal Pink Sheet
LOréal SA financial ratios help investors to determine whether LOréal Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in LOréal with respect to the benefits of owning LOréal SA security.