Mawson Infrastructure Group Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 1.28
| MIGI Stock | USD 2.08 0.37 21.64% |
Mawson |
Mawson Infrastructure Target Price Odds to finish below 1.28
The tendency of Mawson Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 1.28 or more in 90 days |
| 2.08 | 90 days | 1.28 | about 25.54 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Mawson Infrastructure to drop to $ 1.28 or more in 90 days from now is about 25.54 (This Mawson Infrastructure Group probability density function shows the probability of Mawson Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Mawson Infrastructure price to stay between $ 1.28 and its current price of $2.08 at the end of the 90-day period is about 72.61 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 4.22 . This indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Mawson Infrastructure will likely underperform. Additionally Mawson Infrastructure Group has an alpha of 0.2686, implying that it can generate a 0.27 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Mawson Infrastructure Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Mawson Infrastructure
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Mawson Infrastructure. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Mawson Infrastructure Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Mawson Infrastructure is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Mawson Infrastructure's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Mawson Infrastructure Group, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Mawson Infrastructure within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.27 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 4.22 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.29 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.08 |
Mawson Infrastructure Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Mawson Infrastructure for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Mawson Infrastructure can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Mawson Infrastructure is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Mawson Infrastructure appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Mawson Infrastructure has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| Mawson Infrastructure Group currently holds 21.87 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 0.43, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Mawson Infrastructure has a current ratio of 0.18, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Mawson Infrastructure's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the previous year's revenue of 43.57 M. Net Loss for the year was (60.42 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 36.67 M. | |
| Mawson Infrastructure Group currently holds about 2.49 M in cash with (2.55 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.03. | |
| Mawson Infrastructure has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Roughly 21.0% of Mawson Infrastructure outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| Latest headline from investing.com: H.C. Wainwright maintains Neutral rating on Mawson stock amid evolving strategy |
Mawson Infrastructure Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Mawson Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Mawson Infrastructure's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Mawson Infrastructure's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 15.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 4.5 M |
Mawson Infrastructure Technical Analysis
Mawson Infrastructure's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Mawson Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Mawson Infrastructure Group. In general, you should focus on analyzing Mawson Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Mawson Infrastructure Predictive Forecast Models
Mawson Infrastructure's time-series forecasting models is one of many Mawson Infrastructure's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Mawson Infrastructure's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Mawson Infrastructure
Checking the ongoing alerts about Mawson Infrastructure for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Mawson Infrastructure help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Mawson Infrastructure is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Mawson Infrastructure appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Mawson Infrastructure has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| Mawson Infrastructure Group currently holds 21.87 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 0.43, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Mawson Infrastructure has a current ratio of 0.18, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Mawson Infrastructure's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the previous year's revenue of 43.57 M. Net Loss for the year was (60.42 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 36.67 M. | |
| Mawson Infrastructure Group currently holds about 2.49 M in cash with (2.55 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.03. | |
| Mawson Infrastructure has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Roughly 21.0% of Mawson Infrastructure outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| Latest headline from investing.com: H.C. Wainwright maintains Neutral rating on Mawson stock amid evolving strategy |
Check out Mawson Infrastructure Backtesting, Mawson Infrastructure Valuation, Mawson Infrastructure Correlation, Mawson Infrastructure Hype Analysis, Mawson Infrastructure Volatility, Mawson Infrastructure History as well as Mawson Infrastructure Performance. You can also try the Portfolio Volatility module to check portfolio volatility and analyze historical return density to properly model market risk.
Is Asset Management & Custody Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Mawson Infrastructure. If investors know Mawson will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Mawson Infrastructure listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.98) | Earnings Share (3.13) | Revenue Per Share 3.406 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.243 | Return On Assets (0.32) |
The market value of Mawson Infrastructure is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Mawson that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Mawson Infrastructure's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Mawson Infrastructure's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Mawson Infrastructure's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Mawson Infrastructure's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Mawson Infrastructure's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Mawson Infrastructure is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Mawson Infrastructure's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.