Methanex Stock Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 54.23
| MX Stock | CAD 65.12 0.45 0.69% |
Methanex |
Methanex Target Price Odds to finish below 54.23
The tendency of Methanex Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to C$ 54.23 or more in 90 days |
| 65.12 | 90 days | 54.23 | about 18.63 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Methanex to drop to C$ 54.23 or more in 90 days from now is about 18.63 (This Methanex probability density function shows the probability of Methanex Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Methanex price to stay between C$ 54.23 and its current price of C$65.12 at the end of the 90-day period is about 79.54 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Methanex has a beta of -0.12. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Methanex are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Methanex is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Methanex has an alpha of 0.1525, implying that it can generate a 0.15 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Methanex Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Methanex
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Methanex. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Methanex's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Methanex Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Methanex is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Methanex's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Methanex, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Methanex within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.15 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.12 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 3.62 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.01 |
Methanex Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Methanex for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Methanex can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Over 80.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Methanex Declares Upsize and Pricing of Senior Unsecured Notes - Yahoo Finance |
Methanex Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Methanex Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Methanex's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Methanex's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 67.8 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 458 M |
Methanex Technical Analysis
Methanex's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Methanex Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Methanex. In general, you should focus on analyzing Methanex Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Methanex Predictive Forecast Models
Methanex's time-series forecasting models is one of many Methanex's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Methanex's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Methanex
Checking the ongoing alerts about Methanex for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Methanex help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Over 80.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Methanex Declares Upsize and Pricing of Senior Unsecured Notes - Yahoo Finance |
Check out Methanex Backtesting, Methanex Valuation, Methanex Correlation, Methanex Hype Analysis, Methanex Volatility, Methanex History as well as Methanex Performance. To learn how to invest in Methanex Stock, please use our How to Invest in Methanex guide.You can also try the Commodity Channel module to use Commodity Channel Index to analyze current equity momentum.