Nexpoint Real Estate Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 15.05

NREF Stock  USD 15.05  0.10  0.67%   
Nexpoint Real's implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on Nexpoint Real Estate. Implied volatility approximates the future value of Nexpoint Real based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in Nexpoint Real Estate over a specific time period. For example, NREF260515C00015000 is a PUT option contract on Nexpoint Real's common stock with a strick price of 15.0 expiring on 2026-05-15. The contract was not traded in recent days and, as of today, has 100 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at a bid price of $0.65, and an ask price of $1.05. The implied volatility as of the 4th of February is 100.0. View All Nexpoint options

Closest to current price Nexpoint long PUT Option Payoff at Expiration

Nexpoint Real's future price is the expected price of Nexpoint Real instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Nexpoint Real Estate performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Nexpoint Real Analysis, Nexpoint Real Valuation, Nexpoint Real Correlation, Nexpoint Real Hype Analysis, Nexpoint Real Volatility, Nexpoint Real Price History as well as Nexpoint Real Performance.
At this time, Nexpoint Real's Price Earnings Ratio is most likely to increase significantly in the upcoming years. The Nexpoint Real's current Price Earnings To Growth Ratio is estimated to increase to 0.15, while Price To Sales Ratio is projected to decrease to 2.70. Please specify Nexpoint Real's target price for which you would like Nexpoint Real odds to be computed.

Nexpoint Real Target Price Odds to finish over 15.05

The tendency of Nexpoint Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 15.05 90 days 15.05 
about 5.21
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Nexpoint Real to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 5.21 (This Nexpoint Real Estate probability density function shows the probability of Nexpoint Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Nexpoint Real has a beta of 0.71. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Nexpoint Real average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Nexpoint Real Estate will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Nexpoint Real Estate has an alpha of 0.1996, implying that it can generate a 0.2 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Nexpoint Real Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Nexpoint Real

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Nexpoint Real Estate. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Nexpoint Real's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
13.4914.9316.37
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
14.3115.7517.19
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
13.2914.7316.17
Details
3 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
13.2014.5016.10
Details

Nexpoint Real Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Nexpoint Real is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Nexpoint Real's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Nexpoint Real Estate, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Nexpoint Real within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.20
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.71
σ
Overall volatility
0.64
Ir
Information ratio 0.13

Nexpoint Real Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Nexpoint Real for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Nexpoint Real Estate can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Nexpoint Real Estate is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
Over 75.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
On 31st of December 2025 Nexpoint Real paid $ 0.5 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Keefe Bruyette Adjusts NexPoint Real Estate Finance Target, Keeps Market Perform

Nexpoint Real Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Nexpoint Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Nexpoint Real's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Nexpoint Real's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding17.4 M
Cash And Short Term Investments3.9 M

Nexpoint Real Technical Analysis

Nexpoint Real's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Nexpoint Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Nexpoint Real Estate. In general, you should focus on analyzing Nexpoint Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Nexpoint Real Predictive Forecast Models

Nexpoint Real's time-series forecasting models is one of many Nexpoint Real's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Nexpoint Real's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Nexpoint Real Estate

Checking the ongoing alerts about Nexpoint Real for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Nexpoint Real Estate help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Nexpoint Real Estate is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
Over 75.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
On 31st of December 2025 Nexpoint Real paid $ 0.5 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Keefe Bruyette Adjusts NexPoint Real Estate Finance Target, Keeps Market Perform
When determining whether Nexpoint Real Estate is a strong investment it is important to analyze Nexpoint Real's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Nexpoint Real's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Nexpoint Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Can Asset Management & Custody Banks industry sustain growth momentum? Does Nexpoint have expansion opportunities? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Nexpoint Real. Anticipated expansion of Nexpoint directly elevates investor willingness to pay premium valuations. Determining accurate worth demands scrutiny of both present operating results and projected expansion capacity. Evaluating Nexpoint Real demands reviewing these metrics collectively while recognizing certain factors exert disproportionate influence.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.546
Dividend Share
2
Earnings Share
2.91
Revenue Per Share
8.61
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.956
Investors evaluate Nexpoint Real Estate using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating Nexpoint Real's intrinsic value - the estimated true worth - helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Market participants employ diverse analytical approaches to determine fair value and identify buying opportunities when prices dip below calculated worth. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause Nexpoint Real's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
It's important to distinguish between Nexpoint Real's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Nexpoint Real should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. Conversely, Nexpoint Real's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.