Nexpoint Real Estate Stock Technical Analysis

NREF Stock  USD 14.64  0.06  0.41%   
As of the 19th of February, Nexpoint Real secures the Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0782, mean deviation of 1.05, and Downside Deviation of 1.25. In connection with fundamental indicators, the technical analysis model lets you check existing technical drivers of Nexpoint Real Estate, as well as the relationship between them. Please verify Nexpoint Real Estate information ratio, and the relationship between the downside deviation and value at risk to decide if Nexpoint Real Estate is priced some-what accurately, providing market reflects its recent price of 14.64 per share. Given that Nexpoint Real Estate has jensen alpha of 0.0992, we recommend you to check Nexpoint Real's last-minute market performance to make sure the company can sustain itself at a future point.

Nexpoint Real Momentum Analysis

Momentum indicators are widely used technical indicators which help to measure the pace at which the price of specific equity, such as Nexpoint, fluctuates. Many momentum indicators also complement each other and can be helpful when the market is rising or falling as compared to NexpointNexpoint Real's Momentum analyses are specifically helpful, as they help investors time the market using mark points where the market can reverse. The reversal spots are usually identified through divergence between price movement and momentum.

Nexpoint Real Analyst Consensus

Target PriceConsensus# of Analysts
14.5Hold3Odds
Nexpoint Real Estate current and past analyst recommendations published by a number of research institutions as well as average analyst consensus.
Most Nexpoint analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Nexpoint stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of Nexpoint Real Estate, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to Nexpoint conference calls.
Nexpoint Analyst Advice Details
Can Asset Management & Custody Banks industry sustain growth momentum? Does Nexpoint have expansion opportunities? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Nexpoint Real. Anticipated expansion of Nexpoint directly elevates investor willingness to pay premium valuations. Determining accurate worth demands scrutiny of both present operating results and projected expansion capacity. Evaluating Nexpoint Real demands reviewing these metrics collectively while recognizing certain factors exert disproportionate influence.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.546
Dividend Share
2
Earnings Share
2.91
Revenue Per Share
8.61
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.956
Investors evaluate Nexpoint Real Estate using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating Nexpoint Real's intrinsic value - the estimated true worth - helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Market participants employ diverse analytical approaches to determine fair value and identify buying opportunities when prices dip below calculated worth. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause Nexpoint Real's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
It's important to distinguish between Nexpoint Real's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Nexpoint Real should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. Conversely, Nexpoint Real's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.

Nexpoint Real 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Nexpoint Real's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Nexpoint Real.
0.00
11/21/2025
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 3 months and 1 day
02/19/2026
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Nexpoint Real on November 21, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Nexpoint Real Estate or generate 0.0% return on investment in Nexpoint Real over 90 days. Nexpoint Real is related to or competes with AG Mortgage, Angel Oak, Chicago Atlantic, Ares Commercial, AG Mortgage, Acres Commercial, and Wheeler Real. NexPoint Real Estate Finance, Inc. operates as a real estate finance company in the United States More

Nexpoint Real Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Nexpoint Real's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Nexpoint Real Estate upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Nexpoint Real Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Nexpoint Real's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Nexpoint Real's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Nexpoint Real historical prices to predict the future Nexpoint Real's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Nexpoint Real's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
13.3414.6415.94
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
13.4214.7216.02
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
13.3414.6415.95
Details
3 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
13.2014.5016.10
Details

Nexpoint Real February 19, 2026 Technical Indicators

Nexpoint Real Estate Backtested Returns

At this point, Nexpoint Real is very steady. Nexpoint Real Estate has Sharpe Ratio of 0.0969, which conveys that the firm had a 0.0969 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-seven technical indicators for Nexpoint Real, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please verify Nexpoint Real's Mean Deviation of 1.05, downside deviation of 1.25, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0782 to check out if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.13%. Nexpoint Real has a performance score of 7 on a scale of 0 to 100. The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 0.56, which conveys possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Nexpoint Real's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Nexpoint Real is expected to be smaller as well. Nexpoint Real Estate right now secures a risk of 1.3%. Please verify Nexpoint Real Estate downside variance, as well as the relationship between the kurtosis and price action indicator , to decide if Nexpoint Real Estate will be following its current price movements.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.39  

Below average predictability

Nexpoint Real Estate has below average predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Nexpoint Real time series from 21st of November 2025 to 5th of January 2026 and 5th of January 2026 to 19th of February 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Nexpoint Real Estate price movement. The serial correlation of 0.39 indicates that just about 39.0% of current Nexpoint Real price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.39
Spearman Rank Test0.09
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.11
Nexpoint Real technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of Nexpoint Real technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of Nexpoint Real trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...

Nexpoint Real Estate Technical Analysis

Indicator
Time Period
Execute Indicator
The output start index for this execution was ten with a total number of output elements of fifty-one. The Average True Range was developed by J. Welles Wilder in 1970s. It is one of components of the Welles Wilder Directional Movement indicators. The ATR is a measure of Nexpoint Real Estate volatility. High ATR values indicate high volatility, and low values indicate low volatility.

About Nexpoint Real Technical Analysis

The technical analysis module can be used to analyzes prices, returns, volume, basic money flow, and other market information and help investors to determine the real value of Nexpoint Real Estate on a daily or weekly bases. We use both bottom-up as well as top-down valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of Nexpoint Real Estate based on its technical analysis. In general, a bottom-up approach, as applied to this company, focuses on Nexpoint Real Estate price pattern first instead of the macroeconomic environment surrounding Nexpoint Real Estate. By analyzing Nexpoint Real's financials, daily price indicators, and related drivers such as dividends, momentum ratios, and various types of growth rates, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of Nexpoint Real's intrinsic value. As compared to a bottom-up approach, our top-down model examines the macroeconomic factors that affect the industry/economy before zooming in to Nexpoint Real specific price patterns or momentum indicators. Please read more on our technical analysis page.
 2023 2024 2025 2026 (projected)
Dividend Yield0.190.170.150.096
Price To Sales Ratio6.442.482.852.7

Nexpoint Real February 19, 2026 Technical Indicators

Most technical analysis of Nexpoint help investors determine whether a current trend will continue and, if not, when it will shift. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Nexpoint from various momentum indicators to cycle indicators. When you analyze Nexpoint charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at different other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

Nexpoint Real February 19, 2026 Daily Trend Indicators

Traders often use several different daily volumes and price technical indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Nexpoint stock. With literally thousands of different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

Complementary Tools for Nexpoint Stock analysis

When running Nexpoint Real's price analysis, check to measure Nexpoint Real's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Nexpoint Real is operating at the current time. Most of Nexpoint Real's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Nexpoint Real's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Nexpoint Real's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Nexpoint Real to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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