Nexpoint Real Estate Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

NREF Stock  USD 14.04  0.05  0.35%   
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Nexpoint Real Estate is 'Strong Hold'. Macroaxis provides Nexpoint Real buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding NREF positions. Check out Nexpoint Real Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Nexpoint and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. Nexpoint Real Estate. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in american community survey.

Execute Nexpoint Real Buy or Sell Advice

The Nexpoint recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Nexpoint Real Estate. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Nexpoint Real Estate or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Nexpoint Real's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Nexpoint RealBuy Nexpoint Real
Strong Hold

Market Performance

MildDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

Low keyDetails

Current Valuation

Fairly ValuedDetails

Odds Of Distress

TinyDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Follows the market closelyDetails

Investor Sentiment

InterestedDetails

Analyst Consensus

HoldDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

HealthyDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Nexpoint Real Estate has a Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0315, Jensen Alpha of (0.01), Total Risk Alpha of (0.10), Sortino Ratio of (0.02) and Treynor Ratio of 0.0548
Our investment recommendation tool can cross-verify current analyst consensus on Nexpoint Real Estate and to analyze the entity potential to grow in the current economic cycle. To make sure Nexpoint Real Estate is not overpriced, please verify all Nexpoint Real Estate fundamentals, including its ebitda, short ratio, annual yield, as well as the relationship between the total debt and beta . Given that Nexpoint Real Estate has a number of shares shorted of 368.08 K, we recommend you to check Nexpoint Real market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your last-minute risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Nexpoint Real Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

About 69.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
On 31st of December 2025 Nexpoint Real paid $ 0.5 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from simplywall.st: Undervalued Small Caps With Insider Activity In January 2026

Nexpoint Real Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Nexpoint Real's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Nexpoint Real's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Nexpoint Real daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Nexpoint Real Estate price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Nexpoint Real returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Nexpoint Real.
Mean Return
0.05
Value At Risk
-2.47
Potential Upside
2.23
Standard Deviation
1.45
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Nexpoint Real historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Nexpoint Stock Institutional Investors

Shares
Northern Trust Corp2025-06-30
62.7 K
Marshall Wace Asset Management Ltd2025-06-30
56.7 K
Comprehensive Portfolio Management, Llc2025-06-30
56.6 K
Goldman Sachs Group Inc2025-06-30
44.2 K
Summit Asset Management Llc2025-06-30
40.1 K
Berkeley Capital Partners, Llc2025-06-30
39.9 K
Cambridge Invest Research Advisors, Inc.2025-06-30
37.9 K
Copley Financial Group, Inc.2025-06-30
37.9 K
Lpl Financial Corp2025-06-30
28.1 K
Highland Capital Management Fund Advisors2025-06-30
8.6 M
Blackrock Inc2025-06-30
623.5 K
Note, although Nexpoint Real's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Nexpoint Real Cash Flow Accounts

202120222023202420252026 (projected)
Change In Cash(239K)(12.9M)(3.7M)(9.6M)(8.6M)(8.2M)
Free Cash Flow49.3M65.8M31.6M29.3M33.7M28.9M
Other Non Cash Items(36.6M)52.9M17.2M(6.7M)(7.7M)(7.3M)
End Period Cash Flow33.2M20.3M16.6M7.1M8.1M13.8M
Depreciation15.8M2.9M2.5M5.6M6.5M6.0M
Net Income83.5M14.2M14.0M36.0M41.4M24.2M
Investments517.9M950.6M876.9M956.5M1.1B588.4M
Dividends Paid17.7M33.2M51.5M46.3M53.3M56.0M
Net Borrowings203.4M27.1M(24.4M)(414.5M)(373.1M)(354.4M)

Nexpoint Real Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Nexpoint Real or Capital Markets sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Nexpoint Real's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Nexpoint stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.01
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.78
σ
Overall volatility
1.46
Ir
Information ratio -0.02

Nexpoint Real Volatility Alert

Nexpoint Real Estate has relatively low volatility with skewness of 0.15 and kurtosis of -0.07. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Nexpoint Real's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Nexpoint Real's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Nexpoint Real Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Nexpoint Real's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Nexpoint Real's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Nexpoint Real and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Nexpoint Real or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Nexpoint Real's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Nexpoint Real by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Nexpoint Real to competition
FundamentalsNexpoint RealPeer Average
Return On Equity0.17-0.31
Return On Asset0.0208-0.14
Profit Margin0.64 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.86 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation5.11 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding17.72 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders6.90 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions69.30 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted368.08 K4.71 M
Price To Earning6.22 X28.72 X
Price To Book0.67 X9.51 X
Price To Sales2.12 X11.42 X
Revenue110.32 M9.43 B
Gross Profit150.17 M27.38 B
EBITDA90.39 M3.9 B
Net Income35.96 M570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents52.68 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share3.52 X5.01 X
Total Debt4.82 B5.32 B
Current Ratio23.33 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share20.99 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations29.28 M971.22 M
Short Ratio6.30 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share2.91 X3.12 X
Target Price14.75
Number Of Employees118.84 K
Beta1.2-0.15
Market Capitalization320.69 M19.03 B
Total Asset5.42 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings(54.95 M)9.33 B
Annual Yield0.14 %
Net Asset5.42 B
Last Dividend Paid2.0
Note: Acquisition by Dondero James D of 66000 shares of Nexpoint Real at 14.33 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

Nexpoint Real Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Nexpoint . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

Nexpoint Real Target Price Consensus

Nexpoint target price is determined by taking all analyst projections and averaging them out. There is no one specific way to measure analysts' performance other than comparing it to past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Nexpoint Real's target price projections below should be used in combination with other traditional price prediction techniques such as stock price forecasting, investor sentiment analysis, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
   3  Hold
Most Nexpoint analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to help potential investors understand Nexpoint stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching the public financial statements of Nexpoint Real Estate, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to those companies' conference calls.
Macroaxis Advice   Exposure   Valuation

Nexpoint Real Target Price Projection

Nexpoint Real's current and average target prices are 14.04 and 14.75, respectively. The current price of Nexpoint Real is the price at which Nexpoint Real Estate is currently trading. On the other hand, Nexpoint Real's target price is what analysts think the stock is worth or could sell for in the future. The more significant the discrepancy between the two prices, the more it stimulates investors to act.

Current Price

Nexpoint Real Market Quote on 5th of January 2026

Low Price13.99Odds
High Price14.44Odds

14.04

Target Price

Analyst Consensus On Nexpoint Real Target Price

Low Estimate13.42Odds
High Estimate16.37Odds

14.75

Historical Lowest Forecast  13.42 Target Price  14.75 Highest Forecast  16.37
Note that most analysts generally publish their price targets in research reports on specific companies, along with recommendations for the company's stock.Although price targets are often quoted in the financial news media, there could be a delay between the publication of the latest analyst outlook on Nexpoint Real Estate and the information provided on this page.

Nexpoint Real Analyst Ratings

Nexpoint Real's analyst stock recommendations are determined by taking an average estimate of all analysts we track and classifying them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell, or Sell. Ratings generally communicate what analysts sense about Nexpoint Real stock, and they use a lot of effort and time to analyze it and arrive at a rating. That suggests that analyst recommendations are the outcome of an objective and thorough examination of Nexpoint Real's financials, market performance, and future outlook by experienced professionals. Nexpoint Real's historical ratings below, therefore, can serve as a valuable tool for investors.

Analyst Consensus Breakdown

Average Consensus Estimates

About Nexpoint Real Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Nexpoint Real Estate? Buying financial instruments such as Nexpoint Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Nexpoint Real in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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When determining whether Nexpoint Real Estate is a strong investment it is important to analyze Nexpoint Real's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Nexpoint Real's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Nexpoint Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Nexpoint Real Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
You can also try the Economic Indicators module to top statistical indicators that provide insights into how an economy is performing.
Is Asset Management & Custody Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Nexpoint Real. If investors know Nexpoint will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Nexpoint Real listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.546
Dividend Share
2
Earnings Share
2.91
Revenue Per Share
8.61
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.956
The market value of Nexpoint Real Estate is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Nexpoint that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Nexpoint Real's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Nexpoint Real's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Nexpoint Real's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Nexpoint Real's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Nexpoint Real's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Nexpoint Real is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Nexpoint Real's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.