Nexpoint Real Estate Stock Market Outlook

NREF Stock  USD 14.79  0.11  0.74%   
Roughly 63% of all Nexpoint Real's stockholders are looking to take a long position. The analysis of overall sentiment of trading Nexpoint Real Estate stock suggests that some investors are interested at this time. The current market sentiment, together with Nexpoint Real's historical and current headlines, can help investors time the market. In addition, many technical investors use Nexpoint Real Estate stock news signals to limit their universe of possible portfolio assets.

Comfort Level 63

 Interested

 
Panic
 
Confidence
Today, several news technology companies offer sentiment data to assist traders in manufacturing news sentiment indicators for investment decisions. We partner with these technology firms in helping retail investors build forecasting models that use Nexpoint Real's input sentiment indicators derived from textual data and news published on major financial information outlets and social sites. These indicators can be used to analyze time-dependent numerical information representing public perception toward Nexpoint Real Estate.
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Nexpoint Real Estate is 'Strong Buy'. Macroaxis provides Nexpoint Real buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding NREF positions.

Execute Nexpoint Real Advice

The Nexpoint recommendation should be used to complement the investment advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Nexpoint Real Estate. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Nexpoint Real Estate or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Nexpoint Real's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Nexpoint RealBuy Nexpoint Real
Strong Buy

Market Performance

GoodDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

Low keyDetails

Current Valuation

Fairly ValuedDetails

Odds Of Distress

TinyDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Follows the market closelyDetails

Investor Sentiment

InterestedDetails

Analyst Consensus

HoldDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

HealthyDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Nexpoint Real Estate has a Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1007, Jensen Alpha of 0.1526, Total Risk Alpha of 0.0921, Sortino Ratio of 0.0979 and Treynor Ratio of 0.2545
Our investment recommendation tool can cross-verify current analyst consensus on Nexpoint Real Estate and to analyze the entity potential to grow in the current economic cycle. To make sure Nexpoint Real Estate is not overpriced, please verify all Nexpoint Real Estate fundamentals, including its ebitda, short ratio, annual yield, as well as the relationship between the total debt and beta . Given that Nexpoint Real Estate has a number of shares shorted of 340.76 K, we recommend you to check Nexpoint Real market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your last-minute risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Nexpoint Real Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Nexpoint Real Estate is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
Over 75.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
On 31st of December 2025 Nexpoint Real paid $ 0.5 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Keefe Bruyette Adjusts NexPoint Real Estate Finance Target, Keeps Market Perform

Nexpoint Real Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Nexpoint Real's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Nexpoint Real's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Nexpoint Real daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Nexpoint Real Estate price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Nexpoint Real returns is essential to provide solid investment analysis for Nexpoint Real.
Mean Return
0.20
Value At Risk
-2.47
Potential Upside
2.44
Standard Deviation
1.50
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Nexpoint Real historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Nexpoint Stock Institutional Investors

Shares
Northern Trust Corp2025-06-30
62.7 K
Marshall Wace Asset Management Ltd2025-06-30
56.7 K
Comprehensive Portfolio Management, Llc2025-06-30
56.6 K
Goldman Sachs Group Inc2025-06-30
44.2 K
Summit Asset Management Llc2025-06-30
40.1 K
Berkeley Capital Partners, Llc2025-06-30
39.9 K
Cambridge Invest Research Advisors, Inc.2025-06-30
37.9 K
Copley Financial Group, Inc.2025-06-30
37.9 K
Lpl Financial Corp2025-06-30
28.1 K
Highland Capital Management Fund Advisors2025-06-30
8.6 M
Blackrock Inc2025-06-30
623.5 K
Note, although Nexpoint Real's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Nexpoint Real Cash Flow Accounts

202120222023202420252026 (projected)
Change In Cash(239K)(12.9M)(3.7M)(9.6M)(8.6M)(8.2M)
Free Cash Flow49.3M65.8M31.6M29.3M33.7M28.9M
Other Non Cash Items(36.6M)52.9M17.2M(6.7M)(7.7M)(7.3M)
End Period Cash Flow33.2M20.3M16.6M7.1M8.1M13.8M
Depreciation15.8M2.9M2.5M5.6M6.5M6.0M
Net Income83.5M14.2M14.0M36.0M41.4M24.2M
Investments517.9M950.6M876.9M956.5M1.1B588.4M
Dividends Paid17.7M33.2M51.5M46.3M53.3M56.0M
Net Borrowings203.4M27.1M(24.4M)(414.5M)(373.1M)(354.4M)

Nexpoint Real Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Nexpoint Real or Capital Markets sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Nexpoint Real's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Nexpoint stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.15
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.73
σ
Overall volatility
1.45
Ir
Information ratio 0.09

Nexpoint Real Volatility Alert

Nexpoint Real Estate has relatively low volatility with skewness of -0.08 and kurtosis of 0.52. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Nexpoint Real's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Nexpoint Real's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Nexpoint Real Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Nexpoint Real's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Nexpoint Real's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Nexpoint Real and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Nexpoint Real or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Nexpoint Real's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Nexpoint Real by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Nexpoint Real to competition
FundamentalsNexpoint RealPeer Average
Return On Equity0.17-0.31
Return On Asset0.0208-0.14
Profit Margin0.64 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.86 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation5.12 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding17.72 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders7.45 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions75.41 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted340.76 K4.71 M
Price To Earning6.22 X28.72 X
Price To Book0.71 X9.51 X
Price To Sales2.22 X11.42 X
Revenue110.32 M9.43 B
Gross Profit150.17 M27.38 B
EBITDA90.39 M3.9 B
Net Income35.96 M570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents52.68 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share3.52 X5.01 X
Total Debt4.82 B5.32 B
Current Ratio23.33 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share20.99 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations29.28 M971.22 M
Short Ratio5.36 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share2.87 X3.12 X
Target Price14.5
Number Of Employees118.84 K
Beta1.21-0.15
Market Capitalization336.17 M19.03 B
Total Asset5.42 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings(54.95 M)9.33 B
Annual Yield0.13 %
Net Asset5.42 B
Last Dividend Paid2.0
Note: Acquisition by Dondero James D of 66000 shares of Nexpoint Real at 14.33 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

Nexpoint Real Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Nexpoint . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Nexpoint Real Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Nexpoint Real Estate? Buying financial instruments such as Nexpoint Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Nexpoint Real in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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Run Consumer Discretionary ETFs Thematic Idea Now

Consumer Discretionary ETFs
Consumer Discretionary ETFs Theme
ETF themes focus on helping investors to gain exposure to a broad range of assets, diversify, and lower overall costs. The Consumer Discretionary ETFs theme has 32 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Consumer Discretionary ETFs Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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When determining whether Nexpoint Real Estate is a strong investment it is important to analyze Nexpoint Real's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Nexpoint Real's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Nexpoint Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Nexpoint Real Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
You can also try the Equity Valuation module to check real value of public entities based on technical and fundamental data.
Can Asset Management & Custody Banks industry sustain growth momentum? Does Nexpoint have expansion opportunities? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Nexpoint Real. Anticipated expansion of Nexpoint directly elevates investor willingness to pay premium valuations. Determining accurate worth demands scrutiny of both present operating results and projected expansion capacity. Evaluating Nexpoint Real demands reviewing these metrics collectively while recognizing certain factors exert disproportionate influence.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.546
Dividend Share
2
Earnings Share
2.87
Revenue Per Share
8.61
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.956
Investors evaluate Nexpoint Real Estate using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating Nexpoint Real's intrinsic value—the estimated true worth—helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Market participants employ diverse analytical approaches to determine fair value and identify buying opportunities when prices dip below calculated worth. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause Nexpoint Real's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
It's important to distinguish between Nexpoint Real's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Nexpoint Real should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. Conversely, Nexpoint Real's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.