Nexpoint Real Estate Stock Performance

NREF Stock  USD 14.85  0.01  0.07%   
Nexpoint Real has a performance score of 10 on a scale of 0 to 100. The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 0.61, which conveys possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Nexpoint Real's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Nexpoint Real is expected to be smaller as well. Nexpoint Real Estate right now secures a risk of 1.42%. Please verify Nexpoint Real Estate kurtosis, and the relationship between the downside variance and day median price , to decide if Nexpoint Real Estate will be following its current price movements.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Good

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Nexpoint Real Estate are ranked lower than 10 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite nearly fragile technical and fundamental indicators, Nexpoint Real may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in March 2026. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
(0.07)
Five Day Return
0.2
Year To Date Return
5.39
Ten Year Return
(21.01)
All Time Return
(21.01)
Forward Dividend Yield
0.1347
Payout Ratio
1.0101
Forward Dividend Rate
2
Dividend Date
2025-12-31
Ex Dividend Date
2025-12-15
1
Will NexPoint Real Estate Finance Inc. stock return to pre crash levels - CEO Change Low Risk High Win Rate Picks - newser.com
11/13/2025
2
Directors Bold Move Major Stock Purchase in NexPoint Diversified Real Estate Trust - TipRanks
12/08/2025
3
Disposition of 11904 shares by Mitts Brian of Nexpoint Real at 14.51 subject to Rule 16b-3
12/18/2025
4
NexPoint Real Estate Finance Director Brian Mitts Sells 11,904 Shares - MarketBeat
12/22/2025
 
Nexpoint Real dividend paid on 31st of December 2025
12/31/2025
5
Mortgage Rates End 2025 With Fresh Low 3 mREIT Stocks in Focus
01/06/2026
6
Understanding the Setup and Scalable Risk - Stock Traders Daily
01/12/2026
7
NexPoint Real Estate Finance, Inc. Announces Fourth Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call
01/27/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow16.6 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities956.5 M

Nexpoint Real Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  1,329  in Nexpoint Real Estate on November 11, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  156.00  from holding Nexpoint Real Estate or generate 11.74% return on investment over 90 days. Nexpoint Real Estate is currently generating 0.1919% in daily expected returns and assumes 1.4158% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 12% of stocks are less volatile than Nexpoint, and 97% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Nexpoint Real is expected to generate 1.75 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 1.75 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.14 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.09 per unit of risk.

Nexpoint Real Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Nexpoint Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 14.85 90 days 14.85 
about 10.94
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Nexpoint Real to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 10.94 (This Nexpoint Real Estate probability density function shows the probability of Nexpoint Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Nexpoint Real has a beta of 0.61. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Nexpoint Real average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Nexpoint Real Estate will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Nexpoint Real Estate has an alpha of 0.1844, implying that it can generate a 0.18 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Nexpoint Real Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Nexpoint Real

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Nexpoint Real Estate. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Nexpoint Real's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
13.4714.9016.33
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
14.3515.7817.21
Details
3 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
13.2014.5016.10
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.440.460.48
Details

Nexpoint Real Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Nexpoint Real is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Nexpoint Real's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Nexpoint Real Estate, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Nexpoint Real within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.18
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.61
σ
Overall volatility
0.61
Ir
Information ratio 0.11

Nexpoint Real Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Nexpoint Real for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Nexpoint Real Estate can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Nexpoint Real Estate is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
Over 75.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
On 31st of December 2025 Nexpoint Real paid $ 0.5 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: NexPoint Real Estate Finance, Inc. Announces Fourth Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call

Nexpoint Real Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Nexpoint Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Nexpoint Real's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Nexpoint Real's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding17.4 M
Cash And Short Term Investments3.9 M

Nexpoint Real Fundamentals Growth

Nexpoint Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Nexpoint Real, and Nexpoint Real fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Nexpoint Stock performance.

About Nexpoint Real Performance

By analyzing Nexpoint Real's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Nexpoint Real's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Nexpoint Real has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Nexpoint Real has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Tangible Assets 0.00  0.01 
Return On Capital Employed 0.02  0.02 
Return On Assets 0.00  0.01 
Return On Equity 0.05  0.06 

Things to note about Nexpoint Real Estate performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Nexpoint Real for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Nexpoint Real Estate help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Nexpoint Real Estate is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
Over 75.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
On 31st of December 2025 Nexpoint Real paid $ 0.5 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: NexPoint Real Estate Finance, Inc. Announces Fourth Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call
Evaluating Nexpoint Real's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Nexpoint Real's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Nexpoint Real's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Nexpoint Real's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Nexpoint Real's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Nexpoint Real's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Nexpoint Real's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Nexpoint Real's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Nexpoint Real's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Nexpoint Real's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Nexpoint Real's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

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When running Nexpoint Real's price analysis, check to measure Nexpoint Real's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Nexpoint Real is operating at the current time. Most of Nexpoint Real's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Nexpoint Real's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Nexpoint Real's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Nexpoint Real to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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