Orix Corp (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 101.00

OIXA Stock  EUR 101.00  1.50  1.51%   
Orix Corp's future price is the expected price of Orix Corp instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Orix Corp Ads performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Orix Corp Backtesting, Orix Corp Valuation, Orix Corp Correlation, Orix Corp Hype Analysis, Orix Corp Volatility, Orix Corp History as well as Orix Corp Performance.
  
Please specify Orix Corp's target price for which you would like Orix Corp odds to be computed.

Orix Corp Target Price Odds to finish over 101.00

The tendency of Orix Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 101.00 90 days 101.00 
about 59.36
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Orix Corp to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 59.36 (This Orix Corp Ads probability density function shows the probability of Orix Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Orix Corp has a beta of 0.3. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Orix Corp average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Orix Corp Ads will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Orix Corp Ads has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Orix Corp Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Orix Corp

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Orix Corp Ads. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
99.46101.00102.54
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
100.34101.88103.42
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Orix Corp. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Orix Corp's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Orix Corp's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Orix Corp Ads.

Orix Corp Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Orix Corp is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Orix Corp's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Orix Corp Ads, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Orix Corp within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.14
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.30
σ
Overall volatility
4.35
Ir
Information ratio -0.14

Orix Corp Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Orix Corp for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Orix Corp Ads can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Orix Corp Ads generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Orix Corp Ads has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations

Orix Corp Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Orix Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Orix Corp's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Orix Corp's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding1.2 B

Orix Corp Technical Analysis

Orix Corp's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Orix Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Orix Corp Ads. In general, you should focus on analyzing Orix Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Orix Corp Predictive Forecast Models

Orix Corp's time-series forecasting models is one of many Orix Corp's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Orix Corp's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Orix Corp Ads

Checking the ongoing alerts about Orix Corp for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Orix Corp Ads help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Orix Corp Ads generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Orix Corp Ads has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations

Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Orix Stock

When determining whether Orix Corp Ads offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Orix Corp's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Orix Corp Ads Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Orix Corp Ads Stock:
Check out Orix Corp Backtesting, Orix Corp Valuation, Orix Corp Correlation, Orix Corp Hype Analysis, Orix Corp Volatility, Orix Corp History as well as Orix Corp Performance.
You can also try the Stocks Directory module to find actively traded stocks across global markets.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Orix Corp's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Orix Corp is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Orix Corp's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.