Oregon Pacific Bancorp Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Over 8.59
| ORPB Stock | USD 7.95 0.05 0.63% |
Oregon |
Oregon Pacific Target Price Odds to finish over 8.59
The tendency of Oregon Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 8.59 or more in 90 days |
| 7.95 | 90 days | 8.59 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Oregon Pacific to move over $ 8.59 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Oregon Pacific Bancorp probability density function shows the probability of Oregon Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Oregon Pacific Bancorp price to stay between its current price of $ 7.95 and $ 8.59 at the end of the 90-day period is about 8.24 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Oregon Pacific has a beta of 0.26. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Oregon Pacific average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Oregon Pacific Bancorp will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Oregon Pacific Bancorp has an alpha of 0.0132, implying that it can generate a 0.0132 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Oregon Pacific Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Oregon Pacific
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Oregon Pacific Bancorp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Oregon Pacific Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Oregon Pacific is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Oregon Pacific's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Oregon Pacific Bancorp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Oregon Pacific within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.01 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.26 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.18 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.07 |
Oregon Pacific Technical Analysis
Oregon Pacific's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Oregon Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Oregon Pacific Bancorp. In general, you should focus on analyzing Oregon Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Oregon Pacific Predictive Forecast Models
Oregon Pacific's time-series forecasting models is one of many Oregon Pacific's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Oregon Pacific's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Oregon Pacific in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Oregon Pacific's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Oregon Pacific options trading.
Other Information on Investing in Oregon Pink Sheet
Oregon Pacific financial ratios help investors to determine whether Oregon Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Oregon with respect to the benefits of owning Oregon Pacific security.