Penguin Solutions Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 18.93

PENG Stock   18.93  0.24  1.28%   
Penguin Solutions' implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on Penguin Solutions. Implied volatility approximates the future value of Penguin Solutions based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in Penguin Solutions over a specific time period. For example, PENG260320C00020000 is a PUT option contract on Penguin Solutions' common stock with a strick price of 20.0 expiring on 2026-03-20. The contract was not traded in recent days and, as of today, has 35 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at a bid price of $0.5, and an ask price of $0.95. The implied volatility as of the 13th of February 2026 is 35.0. View All Penguin options

Closest to current price Penguin long PUT Option Payoff at Expiration

Penguin Solutions' future price is the expected price of Penguin Solutions instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Penguin Solutions performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Penguin Solutions Analysis, Penguin Solutions Valuation, Penguin Solutions Correlation, Penguin Solutions Hype Analysis, Penguin Solutions Volatility, Penguin Solutions Price History as well as Penguin Solutions Performance.
For more detail on how to invest in Penguin Stock please use our How to Invest in Penguin Solutions guide.At this time, Penguin Solutions' Price Book Value Ratio is most likely to slightly decrease in the upcoming years. The Penguin Solutions' current Price To Operating Cash Flows Ratio is estimated to increase to 5.48, while Price Earnings To Growth Ratio is forecasted to increase to (0.28). Please specify Penguin Solutions' target price for which you would like Penguin Solutions odds to be computed.

Penguin Solutions Target Price Odds to finish over 18.93

The tendency of Penguin Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 18.93 90 days 18.93 
about 79.1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Penguin Solutions to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 79.1 (This Penguin Solutions probability density function shows the probability of Penguin Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Penguin Solutions has a beta of 0.24 indicating as returns on the market go up, Penguin Solutions average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Penguin Solutions will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Penguin Solutions has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Penguin Solutions Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Penguin Solutions

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Penguin Solutions. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
15.3718.7022.03
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
18.2221.5524.88
Details
8 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
24.4626.8829.83
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.360.420.47
Details

Penguin Solutions Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Penguin Solutions is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Penguin Solutions' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Penguin Solutions, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Penguin Solutions within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.16
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.24
σ
Overall volatility
1.21
Ir
Information ratio -0.06

Penguin Solutions Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Penguin Solutions for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Penguin Solutions can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Penguin Solutions had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Penguin Solutions has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Over 97.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Penguin Solutions Reports Inducement Grants Under Nasdaq Listing Rule 5635

Penguin Solutions Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Penguin Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Penguin Solutions' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Penguin Solutions' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding54.4 M
Cash And Short Term Investments453.8 M

Penguin Solutions Technical Analysis

Penguin Solutions' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Penguin Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Penguin Solutions. In general, you should focus on analyzing Penguin Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Penguin Solutions Predictive Forecast Models

Penguin Solutions' time-series forecasting models is one of many Penguin Solutions' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Penguin Solutions' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Penguin Solutions

Checking the ongoing alerts about Penguin Solutions for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Penguin Solutions help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Penguin Solutions had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Penguin Solutions has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Over 97.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Penguin Solutions Reports Inducement Grants Under Nasdaq Listing Rule 5635
When determining whether Penguin Solutions is a strong investment it is important to analyze Penguin Solutions' competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Penguin Solutions' future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Penguin Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Can Semiconductors & Semiconductor Equipment industry sustain growth momentum? Does Penguin have expansion opportunities? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Penguin Solutions. Anticipated expansion of Penguin directly elevates investor willingness to pay premium valuations. Determining accurate worth demands scrutiny of both present operating results and projected expansion capacity. Evaluating Penguin Solutions demands reviewing these metrics collectively while recognizing certain factors exert disproportionate influence.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.61)
Earnings Share
0.22
Revenue Per Share
25.859
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.006
Return On Assets
0.0335
Understanding Penguin Solutions requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects Penguin's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value - what Penguin Solutions' is actually worth based on fundamentals - guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Market participants employ diverse analytical approaches to determine fair value and identify buying opportunities when prices dip below calculated worth. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push Penguin Solutions' price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
It's important to distinguish between Penguin Solutions' intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Penguin Solutions should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. In contrast, Penguin Solutions' trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.