Penguin Solutions Stock Forecast - Polynomial Regression

PENG Stock   21.55  0.48  2.28%   
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Penguin Solutions on the next trading day is expected to be 21.31 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.90 and the sum of the absolute errors of 55.88. Penguin Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Penguin Solutions' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 7th of January 2026 the relative strength index (rsi) of Penguin Solutions' share price is below 20 indicating that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Penguin Solutions' future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Penguin Solutions and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Penguin Solutions' fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Penguin Solutions, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Penguin Solutions' stock price prediction:
EPS Estimate Current Year
2.0778
EPS Estimate Next Year
2.6245
Wall Street Target Price
27.625
EPS Estimate Current Quarter
0.3749
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.086
Using Penguin Solutions hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Penguin Solutions from the perspective of Penguin Solutions response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Penguin Solutions using Penguin Solutions' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Penguin using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Penguin Solutions' stock price.

Penguin Solutions Short Interest

A significant increase or decrease in Penguin Solutions' short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Penguin. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Penguin Solutions stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA
21.2417
Short Percent
0.1653
Short Ratio
5.66
Shares Short Prior Month
M
50 Day MA
20.6268

Penguin Solutions Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Penguin Solutions' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Penguin. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Penguin can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Penguin Solutions. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Penguin Solutions' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Penguin Solutions.

Penguin Solutions Implied Volatility

    
  0.82  
Penguin Solutions' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Penguin Solutions stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Penguin Solutions' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Penguin Solutions stock will not fluctuate a lot when Penguin Solutions' options are near their expiration.
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Penguin Solutions on the next trading day is expected to be 21.31 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.90 and the sum of the absolute errors of 55.88.

Penguin Solutions after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 21.55  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Penguin Solutions to cross-verify your projections.
For more detail on how to invest in Penguin Stock please use our How to Invest in Penguin Solutions guide.At this time, Penguin Solutions' Fixed Asset Turnover is most likely to increase slightly in the upcoming years. The Penguin Solutions' current Asset Turnover is estimated to increase to 1.32, while Inventory Turnover is projected to decrease to 3.80. . The current Common Stock Shares Outstanding is estimated to decrease to about 52 M.

Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Penguin Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Penguin Solutions' spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Penguin Solutions' options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Penguin Solutions stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Penguin Solutions' open interest, investors have to compare it to Penguin Solutions' spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Penguin Solutions is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Penguin. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.

Penguin Solutions Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Penguin price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Penguin using various technical indicators. When you analyze Penguin charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Penguin Solutions polinomial regression implements a single variable polynomial regression model using the daily prices as the independent variable. The coefficients of the regression for Penguin Solutions as well as the accuracy indicators are determined from the period prices.

Penguin Solutions Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 8th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Penguin Solutions on the next trading day is expected to be 21.31 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.90, mean absolute percentage error of 1.41, and the sum of the absolute errors of 55.88.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Penguin Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Penguin Solutions' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Penguin Solutions Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Penguin SolutionsPenguin Solutions Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Penguin Solutions Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Penguin Solutions' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Penguin Solutions' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 18.42 and 24.19, respectively. We have considered Penguin Solutions' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
21.55
21.31
Expected Value
24.19
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Polynomial Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Penguin Solutions stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Penguin Solutions stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria120.2901
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.9012
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0444
SAESum of the absolute errors55.8765
A single variable polynomial regression model attempts to put a curve through the Penguin Solutions historical price points. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, this line can be indicated as: Y = a0 + a1*X + a2*X2 + a3*X3 + ... + am*Xm

Predictive Modules for Penguin Solutions

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Penguin Solutions. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
18.6721.5524.43
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
19.3922.2725.15
Details
8 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
25.1427.6230.66
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.390.430.51
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Penguin Solutions

For every potential investor in Penguin, whether a beginner or expert, Penguin Solutions' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Penguin Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Penguin. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Penguin Solutions' price trends.

Penguin Solutions Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Penguin Solutions stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Penguin Solutions could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Penguin Solutions by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Penguin Solutions Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Penguin Solutions' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Penguin Solutions' current price.

Penguin Solutions Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Penguin Solutions stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Penguin Solutions shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Penguin Solutions stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Penguin Solutions entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Penguin Solutions Risk Indicators

The analysis of Penguin Solutions' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Penguin Solutions' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting penguin stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

When determining whether Penguin Solutions is a strong investment it is important to analyze Penguin Solutions' competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Penguin Solutions' future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Penguin Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Penguin Solutions to cross-verify your projections.
For more detail on how to invest in Penguin Stock please use our How to Invest in Penguin Solutions guide.
You can also try the Portfolio Rebalancing module to analyze risk-adjusted returns against different time horizons to find asset-allocation targets.
Is Semiconductors & Semiconductor Equipment space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Penguin Solutions. If investors know Penguin will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Penguin Solutions listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share
0.28
Revenue Per Share
25.751
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.086
Return On Assets
0.0319
Return On Equity
0.0572
The market value of Penguin Solutions is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Penguin that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Penguin Solutions' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Penguin Solutions' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Penguin Solutions' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Penguin Solutions' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Penguin Solutions' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Penguin Solutions is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Penguin Solutions' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.