Penguin Solutions Stock Price Prediction
| PENG Stock | 20.73 0.49 2.42% |
Momentum 38
Sell Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.61) | EPS Estimate Current Year 2.0387 | EPS Estimate Next Year 2.4077 | Wall Street Target Price 26.875 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter 0.4431 |
Using Penguin Solutions hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Penguin Solutions from the perspective of Penguin Solutions response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Penguin Solutions using Penguin Solutions' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Penguin using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Penguin Solutions' stock price.
Penguin Solutions Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Penguin Solutions' short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Penguin. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Penguin Solutions stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 21.3162 | Short Percent 0.1815 | Short Ratio 8.37 | Shares Short Prior Month 6.2 M | 50 Day MA 20.1229 |
Penguin Solutions Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Penguin Solutions' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Penguin. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Penguin can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Penguin Solutions. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Penguin Solutions' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Penguin Solutions.
Penguin Solutions Implied Volatility | 0.77 |
Penguin Solutions' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Penguin Solutions stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Penguin Solutions' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Penguin Solutions stock will not fluctuate a lot when Penguin Solutions' options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Penguin Solutions to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Penguin because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Penguin Solutions after-hype prediction price | USD 20.73 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Penguin contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Penguin Solutions will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0481% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Penguin Solutions trading at USD 20.73, that is roughly USD 0.009976 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Penguin Solutions' daily price movement you should consider acquiring Penguin Solutions options at the current volatility level of 0.77%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Check out Penguin Solutions Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Penguin Solutions After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Penguin Solutions at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Penguin Solutions or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Penguin Solutions, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Penguin Solutions Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Penguin Solutions' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Penguin Solutions' historical news coverage. Penguin Solutions' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 17.32 and 24.14, respectively. We have considered Penguin Solutions' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Penguin Solutions is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Penguin Solutions is based on 3 months time horizon.
Penguin Solutions Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Penguin Solutions is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Penguin Solutions backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Penguin Solutions, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.10 | 3.43 | 0.02 | 0.04 | 17 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 17 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
20.73 | 20.73 | 0.00 |
|
Penguin Solutions Hype Timeline
Penguin Solutions is at this time traded for 20.73. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.02, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.04. Penguin is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.1%. %. The volatility of related hype on Penguin Solutions is about 963.48%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 20.77. About 97.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of Penguin Solutions was at this time reported as 7.41. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Penguin Solutions had 2:1 split on the 2nd of February 2022. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next estimated press release will be in about 17 days. Check out Penguin Solutions Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Penguin Solutions Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Penguin Solutions' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Penguin Solutions' future price movements. Getting to know how Penguin Solutions' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Penguin Solutions may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| CTS | CTS Corporation | 0.39 | 5 per month | 1.64 | 0.15 | 3.37 | (3.10) | 8.33 | |
| DAKT | Daktronics | 0.33 | 9 per month | 2.32 | 0.04 | 3.59 | (2.95) | 24.79 | |
| ALNT | Allient | 1.56 | 3 per month | 2.18 | 0.12 | 5.29 | (4.40) | 15.33 | |
| HLIT | Harmonic | 0.18 | 4 per month | 2.37 | (0.05) | 3.04 | (3.80) | 11.35 | |
| RPD | Rapid7 Inc | 0.31 | 12 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 3.68 | (4.71) | 24.45 | |
| TIXT | TELUS International | 0.18 | 20 per month | 0.92 | 0.05 | 2.41 | (1.78) | 17.91 | |
| FSLY | Fastly Class A | 0.18 | 10 per month | 2.82 | 0.05 | 5.70 | (5.51) | 44.62 | |
| YALA | Yalla Group | 0.22 | 11 per month | 2.30 | (0.02) | 3.40 | (3.20) | 14.49 | |
| VRNT | Verint Systems | 0.02 | 5 per month | 0.06 | (0.43) | 0.20 | (0.20) | 0.79 | |
| NTSK | Netskope Class A | 0.19 | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 5.55 | (7.68) | 19.31 |
Penguin Solutions Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Penguin price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Penguin using various technical indicators. When you analyze Penguin charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Penguin Solutions Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Penguin Solutions stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Penguin Solutions, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Penguin Solutions based on analysis of Penguin Solutions hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Penguin Solutions's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Penguin Solutions's related companies. | 2010 | 2025 | 2026 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.006128 | 0.005515 | 0.004902 | Price To Sales Ratio | 0.66 | 0.73 | 0.98 |
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Complementary Tools for Penguin Stock analysis
When running Penguin Solutions' price analysis, check to measure Penguin Solutions' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Penguin Solutions is operating at the current time. Most of Penguin Solutions' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Penguin Solutions' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Penguin Solutions' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Penguin Solutions to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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