Seacoast Banking Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 30.28
| SBCF Stock | USD 29.96 0.32 1.06% |
Closest to current price Seacoast long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration
Seacoast |
Seacoast Banking Target Price Odds to finish below 30.28
The tendency of Seacoast Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under $ 30.28 after 90 days |
| 29.96 | 90 days | 30.28 | roughly 96.0 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Seacoast Banking to stay under $ 30.28 after 90 days from now is roughly 96.0 (This Seacoast Banking probability density function shows the probability of Seacoast Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Seacoast Banking price to stay between its current price of $ 29.96 and $ 30.28 at the end of the 90-day period is roughly 2.02 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 2.21 . This usually implies as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Seacoast Banking will likely underperform. Additionally Seacoast Banking has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Seacoast Banking Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Seacoast Banking
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Seacoast Banking. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Seacoast Banking's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Seacoast Banking Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Seacoast Banking is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Seacoast Banking's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Seacoast Banking, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Seacoast Banking within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.11 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 2.21 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.51 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.02 |
Seacoast Banking Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Seacoast Banking for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Seacoast Banking can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Over 86.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Advantage Alpha Capital Partners LP Has 490,000 Stock Holdings in Seacoast Banking Co. of Florida |
Seacoast Banking Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Seacoast Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Seacoast Banking's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Seacoast Banking's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 84.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 2 B |
Seacoast Banking Technical Analysis
Seacoast Banking's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Seacoast Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Seacoast Banking. In general, you should focus on analyzing Seacoast Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Seacoast Banking Predictive Forecast Models
Seacoast Banking's time-series forecasting models is one of many Seacoast Banking's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Seacoast Banking's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Seacoast Banking
Checking the ongoing alerts about Seacoast Banking for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Seacoast Banking help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Over 86.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Advantage Alpha Capital Partners LP Has 490,000 Stock Holdings in Seacoast Banking Co. of Florida |
Check out Seacoast Banking Backtesting, Seacoast Banking Valuation, Seacoast Banking Correlation, Seacoast Banking Hype Analysis, Seacoast Banking Volatility, Seacoast Banking History as well as Seacoast Banking Performance. For more detail on how to invest in Seacoast Stock please use our How to Invest in Seacoast Banking guide.You can also try the Efficient Frontier module to plot and analyze your portfolio and positions against risk-return landscape of the market..
Is Regional Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Seacoast Banking. If investors know Seacoast will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Seacoast Banking listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.02) | Dividend Share 0.72 | Earnings Share 1.36 | Revenue Per Share 5.851 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.08) |
The market value of Seacoast Banking is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Seacoast that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Seacoast Banking's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Seacoast Banking's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Seacoast Banking's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Seacoast Banking's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Seacoast Banking's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Seacoast Banking is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Seacoast Banking's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.