Star Bulk Carriers Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 22.46

SBLK Stock  USD 15.45  0.06  0.39%   
Star Bulk's future price is the expected price of Star Bulk instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Star Bulk Carriers performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Star Bulk Backtesting, Star Bulk Valuation, Star Bulk Correlation, Star Bulk Hype Analysis, Star Bulk Volatility, Star Bulk History as well as Star Bulk Performance.
  
At this time, Star Bulk's Price Fair Value is quite stable compared to the past year. Please specify Star Bulk's target price for which you would like Star Bulk odds to be computed.

Star Bulk Target Price Odds to finish over 22.46

The tendency of Star Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 22.46  or more in 90 days
 15.45 90 days 22.46 
nearly 4.46
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Star Bulk to move over $ 22.46  or more in 90 days from now is nearly 4.46 (This Star Bulk Carriers probability density function shows the probability of Star Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Star Bulk Carriers price to stay between its current price of $ 15.45  and $ 22.46  at the end of the 90-day period is more than 94.0 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Star Bulk has a beta of 0.33. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Star Bulk average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Star Bulk Carriers will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Star Bulk Carriers has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Star Bulk Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Star Bulk

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Star Bulk Carriers. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
13.5515.5317.51
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
13.9618.0820.06
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
13.8115.7917.77
Details
6 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
21.8123.9726.61
Details

Star Bulk Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Star Bulk is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Star Bulk's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Star Bulk Carriers, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Star Bulk within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.35
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.33
σ
Overall volatility
1.83
Ir
Information ratio -0.22

Star Bulk Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Star Bulk for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Star Bulk Carriers can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Star Bulk Carriers generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Latest headline from news.google.com: Star Bulk Carrier stock hits 52-week low at 15.66 - Investing.com

Star Bulk Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Star Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Star Bulk's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Star Bulk's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding98.9 M
Cash And Short Term Investments259.7 M

Star Bulk Technical Analysis

Star Bulk's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Star Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Star Bulk Carriers. In general, you should focus on analyzing Star Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Star Bulk Predictive Forecast Models

Star Bulk's time-series forecasting models is one of many Star Bulk's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Star Bulk's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Star Bulk Carriers

Checking the ongoing alerts about Star Bulk for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Star Bulk Carriers help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Star Bulk Carriers generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Latest headline from news.google.com: Star Bulk Carrier stock hits 52-week low at 15.66 - Investing.com
When determining whether Star Bulk Carriers is a good investment, qualitative aspects like company management, corporate governance, and ethical practices play a significant role. A comparison with peer companies also provides context and helps to understand if Star Stock is undervalued or overvalued. This multi-faceted approach, blending both quantitative and qualitative analysis, forms a solid foundation for making an informed investment decision about Star Bulk Carriers Stock. Highlighted below are key reports to facilitate an investment decision about Star Bulk Carriers Stock:
Is Marine Transportation space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Star Bulk. If investors know Star will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Star Bulk listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
1.163
Earnings Share
2.93
Revenue Per Share
11.52
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.478
Return On Assets
0.0562
The market value of Star Bulk Carriers is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Star that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Star Bulk's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Star Bulk's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Star Bulk's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Star Bulk's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Star Bulk's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Star Bulk is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Star Bulk's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.