Star Bulk Stock Forward View
| SBLK Stock | USD 22.95 0.05 0.22% |
Star Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Although Star Bulk's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Star Bulk's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Star Bulk fundamentals over time.
The value of relative strength index of Star Bulk's share price is above 70 as of now. This usually implies that the stock is becoming overbought or overvalued. The idea behind Relative Strength Index (RSI) is that it helps to track how fast people are buying or selling Star, making its price go up or down. Momentum 71
Buy Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.77) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.8404 | EPS Estimate Current Year 0.8134 | EPS Estimate Next Year 3.4298 | Wall Street Target Price 25.425 |
Using Star Bulk hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Star Bulk Carriers from the perspective of Star Bulk response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Star Bulk using Star Bulk's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Star using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Star Bulk's stock price.
Star Bulk Short Interest
An investor who is long Star Bulk may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Star Bulk and may potentially protect profits, hedge Star Bulk with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 18.1743 | Short Percent 0.0184 | Short Ratio 1.58 | Shares Short Prior Month 1.7 M | 50 Day MA 19.8684 |
Star Relative Strength Index
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Star Bulk Carriers on the next trading day is expected to be 22.92 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.38 and the sum of the absolute errors of 23.06.Star Bulk Carriers Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Star Bulk's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Star. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Star can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Star Bulk Carriers. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Star Bulk's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Star Bulk.
Star Bulk Implied Volatility | 0.38 |
Star Bulk's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Star Bulk Carriers stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Star Bulk's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Star Bulk stock will not fluctuate a lot when Star Bulk's options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Star Bulk Carriers on the next trading day is expected to be 22.92 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.38 and the sum of the absolute errors of 23.06. Star Bulk after-hype prediction price | USD 23.05 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Star Bulk to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Star contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Star Bulk Carriers will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0238% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Star Bulk trading at USD 22.95, that is roughly USD 0.005451 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Star Bulk's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Star Bulk Carriers options at the current volatility level of 0.38%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Star Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Star Bulk's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Star Bulk's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Star Bulk stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Star Bulk's open interest, investors have to compare it to Star Bulk's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Star Bulk is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Star. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Star Bulk Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Star price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Star using various technical indicators. When you analyze Star charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Star Bulk Cash Forecast
To forecast cash or other financial indicators, analysts must employ diverse statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms. This approach allows them to detect underlying patterns in the Star Bulk's financial statements, predicting their influence on future market prices.
Cash | First Reported 2005-12-31 | Previous Quarter 395.6 M | Current Value 452.5 M | Quarterly Volatility 142.7 M |
Star Bulk Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 2nd of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Star Bulk Carriers on the next trading day is expected to be 22.92 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.38, mean absolute percentage error of 0.24, and the sum of the absolute errors of 23.06.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Star Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Star Bulk's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Star Bulk Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Star Bulk | Star Bulk Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Star Bulk Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Star Bulk's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Star Bulk's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 21.09 and 24.75, respectively. We have considered Star Bulk's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Star Bulk stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Star Bulk stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 116.6834 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.378 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0193 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 23.061 |
Predictive Modules for Star Bulk
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Star Bulk Carriers. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Star Bulk After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Star Bulk at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Star Bulk or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Star Bulk, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Star Bulk Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Star Bulk's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Star Bulk's historical news coverage. Star Bulk's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 21.22 and 24.88, respectively. We have considered Star Bulk's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Star Bulk is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Star Bulk Carriers is based on 3 months time horizon.
Star Bulk Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Star Bulk is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Star Bulk backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Star Bulk, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.39 | 1.83 | 0.10 | 0.08 | 9 Events / Month | 5 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
22.95 | 23.05 | 0.44 |
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Star Bulk Hype Timeline
Star Bulk Carriers is at this time traded for 22.95. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.1, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.08. Star is expected to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 23.05 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price upswing on the next news is projected to be 0.44%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.39%. The volatility of related hype on Star Bulk is about 941.14%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 23.03. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 1.27 B. Net Income was 304.65 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 360.43 M. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next expected press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Star Bulk to cross-verify your projections.Star Bulk Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Star Bulk's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Star Bulk's future price movements. Getting to know how Star Bulk's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Star Bulk may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| BWLP | BW LPG Limited | (0.24) | 7 per month | 1.53 | 0.17 | 4.02 | (2.78) | 8.94 | |
| SB | Safe Bulkers | (0.01) | 9 per month | 1.02 | 0.18 | 3.34 | (1.72) | 13.45 | |
| ZIM | ZIM Integrated Shipping | (0.78) | 10 per month | 2.57 | 0.19 | 6.15 | (5.40) | 20.91 | |
| CMBT | CMBTECH NV | 0.1 | 5 per month | 1.64 | 0.21 | 4.58 | (3.12) | 13.21 | |
| PSIX | Power Solutions International | (0.50) | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.01) | 7.68 | (6.33) | 27.55 | |
| HUBG | Hub Group | 0.86 | 9 per month | 0.94 | 0.23 | 4.24 | (1.90) | 7.44 | |
| ALG | Alamo Group | 2.44 | 11 per month | 1.38 | 0.03 | 2.47 | (2.08) | 8.89 | |
| TRN | Trinity Industries | (1.04) | 11 per month | 1.51 | 0.01 | 2.93 | (2.67) | 13.36 | |
| DAC | Danaos | 0.92 | 9 per month | 0.75 | 0.19 | 2.47 | (1.62) | 5.60 |
Other Forecasting Options for Star Bulk
For every potential investor in Star, whether a beginner or expert, Star Bulk's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Star Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Star. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Star Bulk's price trends.Star Bulk Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Star Bulk stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Star Bulk could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Star Bulk by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Star Bulk Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Star Bulk stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Star Bulk shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Star Bulk stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Star Bulk Carriers entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Star Bulk Risk Indicators
The analysis of Star Bulk's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Star Bulk's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting star stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.36 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.76 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.84 | |||
| Variance | 3.38 | |||
| Downside Variance | 4.29 | |||
| Semi Variance | 3.09 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.46) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Star Bulk
The number of cover stories for Star Bulk depends on current market conditions and Star Bulk's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Star Bulk is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Star Bulk's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Star Bulk Short Properties
Star Bulk's future price predictability will typically decrease when Star Bulk's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Star Bulk Carriers often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Star Bulk's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Star Bulk's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 108.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 425.1 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Star Bulk to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Aroon Oscillator module to analyze current equity momentum using Aroon Oscillator and other momentum ratios.
Is Marine Transportation space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Star Bulk. If investors know Star will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. Comprehensive Star Bulk assessment requires weighing all these inputs, though not all factors influence outcomes equally.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.77) | Dividend Share 0.3 | Earnings Share 0.47 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.23) |
The market value of Star Bulk Carriers is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Star that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Star Bulk's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Star Bulk's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Star Bulk's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Star Bulk's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Star Bulk's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Star Bulk is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. Meanwhile, Star Bulk's quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.