Southeastern Banking Corp Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Under 20.37
| SEBC Stock | USD 23.74 1.47 6.60% |
Southeastern |
Southeastern Banking Target Price Odds to finish below 20.37
The tendency of Southeastern Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 20.37 or more in 90 days |
| 23.74 | 90 days | 20.37 | under 4 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Southeastern Banking to drop to $ 20.37 or more in 90 days from now is under 4 (This Southeastern Banking Corp probability density function shows the probability of Southeastern Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Southeastern Banking Corp price to stay between $ 20.37 and its current price of $23.74 at the end of the 90-day period is roughly 96.0 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Southeastern Banking has a beta of 0.13. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Southeastern Banking average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Southeastern Banking Corp will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Southeastern Banking Corp has an alpha of 0.1619, implying that it can generate a 0.16 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Southeastern Banking Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Southeastern Banking
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Southeastern Banking Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Southeastern Banking Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Southeastern Banking is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Southeastern Banking's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Southeastern Banking Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Southeastern Banking within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.16 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.13 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.72 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.03 |
Southeastern Banking Technical Analysis
Southeastern Banking's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Southeastern Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Southeastern Banking Corp. In general, you should focus on analyzing Southeastern Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Southeastern Banking Predictive Forecast Models
Southeastern Banking's time-series forecasting models is one of many Southeastern Banking's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Southeastern Banking's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Southeastern Banking in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Southeastern Banking's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Southeastern Banking options trading.
Other Information on Investing in Southeastern Pink Sheet
Southeastern Banking financial ratios help investors to determine whether Southeastern Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Southeastern with respect to the benefits of owning Southeastern Banking security.