Southeastern Banking Pink Sheet Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| SEBC Stock | USD 26.18 0.03 0.11% |
Southeastern Pink Sheet outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Southeastern Banking stock prices and determine the direction of Southeastern Banking Corp's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Southeastern Banking's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time, The relative strength index (RSI) of Southeastern Banking's share price is at 58. This usually implies that the pink sheet is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Southeastern Banking, making its price go up or down. Momentum 58
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Southeastern Banking hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Southeastern Banking Corp from the perspective of Southeastern Banking response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Southeastern Banking Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 26.18 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.26 and the sum of the absolute errors of 15.67. Southeastern Banking after-hype prediction price | USD 26.18 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Southeastern |
Southeastern Banking Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Southeastern price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Southeastern using various technical indicators. When you analyze Southeastern charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Southeastern Banking Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 27th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Southeastern Banking Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 26.18 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.26, mean absolute percentage error of 0.21, and the sum of the absolute errors of 15.67.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Southeastern Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Southeastern Banking's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Southeastern Banking Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Southeastern Banking | Southeastern Banking Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Southeastern Banking Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Southeastern Banking's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Southeastern Banking's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 24.34 and 28.02, respectively. We have considered Southeastern Banking's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Southeastern Banking pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Southeastern Banking pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 114.721 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0397 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.2611 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0103 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 15.6662 |
Predictive Modules for Southeastern Banking
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Southeastern Banking Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Southeastern Banking After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Southeastern Banking at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Southeastern Banking or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Southeastern Banking, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Southeastern Banking Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Southeastern Banking's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Southeastern Banking's historical news coverage. Southeastern Banking's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 24.35 and 28.01, respectively. We have considered Southeastern Banking's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Southeastern Banking is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Southeastern Banking Corp is based on 3 months time horizon.
Southeastern Banking Pink Sheet Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Southeastern Banking is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Southeastern Banking backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Southeastern Banking, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.15 | 1.84 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | Within a week |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
26.18 | 26.18 | 0.00 |
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Southeastern Banking Hype Timeline
Southeastern Banking Corp is at this time traded for 26.18. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Southeastern is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.15%. %. The volatility of related hype on Southeastern Banking is about 92000.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 26.18. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.53. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Southeastern Banking Corp last dividend was issued on the 30th of November 2022. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be within a week. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Southeastern Banking to cross-verify your projections.Southeastern Banking Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Southeastern Banking's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Southeastern Banking's future price movements. Getting to know how Southeastern Banking's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Southeastern Banking may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| PBKC | Pioneer Bankcorp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.20) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.80 | |
| CZBS | Citizens Bancshares Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 2.39 | (3.20) | 6.81 | |
| CBKM | Consumers Bancorp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.76 | 0.12 | 2.65 | (1.42) | 7.54 | |
| PTBS | Potomac Bancshares | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.38 | (0.02) | 2.54 | (3.07) | 8.39 | |
| NWPP | New Peoples Bankshares | (0.02) | 2 per month | 2.57 | 0.07 | 7.94 | (3.08) | 27.06 | |
| KLIB | Killbuck Bancshares | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.29 | 0.03 | 4.06 | (2.46) | 10.27 | |
| CCNB | Coastal Carolina Bancshares | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.07 | 0.07 | 2.63 | (2.01) | 9.02 | |
| FABP | Farmers Bancorp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.18 | 2.38 | (1.03) | 6.64 | |
| CITZ | Citizens Bancshares | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.11 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5.26 | |
| NACB | National Capital Bank | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.70 | (0.03) | 1.15 | (1.47) | 8.35 |
Other Forecasting Options for Southeastern Banking
For every potential investor in Southeastern, whether a beginner or expert, Southeastern Banking's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Southeastern Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Southeastern. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Southeastern Banking's price trends.Southeastern Banking Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Southeastern Banking pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Southeastern Banking could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Southeastern Banking by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Southeastern Banking Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Southeastern Banking pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Southeastern Banking shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Southeastern Banking pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Southeastern Banking Corp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Daily Balance Of Power | 9.2 T | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.0 | |||
| Day Median Price | 26.18 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 26.18 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.015 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 0.03 | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 58.23 |
Southeastern Banking Risk Indicators
The analysis of Southeastern Banking's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Southeastern Banking's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting southeastern pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.9715 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.25 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.77 | |||
| Variance | 3.15 | |||
| Downside Variance | 6.86 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.55 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.61) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Southeastern Banking
The number of cover stories for Southeastern Banking depends on current market conditions and Southeastern Banking's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Southeastern Banking is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Southeastern Banking's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Other Information on Investing in Southeastern Pink Sheet
Southeastern Banking financial ratios help investors to determine whether Southeastern Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Southeastern with respect to the benefits of owning Southeastern Banking security.