Southeastern Banking Pink Sheet Forecast - Triple Exponential Smoothing

SEBC Stock  USD 23.74  1.47  6.60%   
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Southeastern Banking Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 23.74 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.13 and the sum of the absolute errors of 7.58. Southeastern Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Southeastern Banking stock prices and determine the direction of Southeastern Banking Corp's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Southeastern Banking's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
Triple exponential smoothing for Southeastern Banking - also known as the Winters method - is a refinement of the popular double exponential smoothing model with the addition of periodicity (seasonality) component. Simple exponential smoothing technique works best with data where there are no trend or seasonality components to the data. When Southeastern Banking prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any trend in Southeastern Banking price movement. However, neither of these exponential smoothing models address any seasonality of Southeastern Banking Corp.

Southeastern Banking Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 29th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Southeastern Banking Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 23.74 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.13, mean absolute percentage error of 0.17, and the sum of the absolute errors of 7.58.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Southeastern Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Southeastern Banking's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Southeastern Banking Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

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Southeastern Banking Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Southeastern Banking's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Southeastern Banking's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 21.67 and 25.81, respectively. We have considered Southeastern Banking's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
23.74
23.74
Expected Value
25.81
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Southeastern Banking pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Southeastern Banking pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.0125
MADMean absolute deviation0.1285
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0059
SAESum of the absolute errors7.58
As with simple exponential smoothing, in triple exponential smoothing models past Southeastern Banking observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older Southeastern Banking Corp observations.

Predictive Modules for Southeastern Banking

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Southeastern Banking Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
21.6723.7425.81
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
20.8622.9325.00
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
21.5423.0124.47
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Southeastern Banking. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Southeastern Banking's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Southeastern Banking's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Southeastern Banking Corp.

Other Forecasting Options for Southeastern Banking

For every potential investor in Southeastern, whether a beginner or expert, Southeastern Banking's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Southeastern Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Southeastern. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Southeastern Banking's price trends.

Southeastern Banking Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Southeastern Banking pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Southeastern Banking could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Southeastern Banking by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Southeastern Banking Corp Technical and Predictive Analytics

The pink sheet market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Southeastern Banking's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Southeastern Banking's current price.

Southeastern Banking Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Southeastern Banking pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Southeastern Banking shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Southeastern Banking pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Southeastern Banking Corp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Southeastern Banking Risk Indicators

The analysis of Southeastern Banking's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Southeastern Banking's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting southeastern pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in Southeastern Pink Sheet

Southeastern Banking financial ratios help investors to determine whether Southeastern Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Southeastern with respect to the benefits of owning Southeastern Banking security.