The Swatch Group Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Over 211.60
| SWGAF Stock | USD 211.60 0.00 0.00% |
Swatch |
Swatch Group Target Price Odds to finish over 211.60
The tendency of Swatch Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 211.60 | 90 days | 211.60 | about 51.39 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Swatch Group to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 51.39 (This The Swatch Group probability density function shows the probability of Swatch Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Swatch Group Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Swatch Group
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Swatch Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Swatch Group Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Swatch Group is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Swatch Group's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold The Swatch Group, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Swatch Group within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.0044 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.18 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 9.19 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.08 |
Swatch Group Technical Analysis
Swatch Group's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Swatch Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of The Swatch Group. In general, you should focus on analyzing Swatch Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Swatch Group Predictive Forecast Models
Swatch Group's time-series forecasting models is one of many Swatch Group's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Swatch Group's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Swatch Group in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Swatch Group's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Swatch Group options trading.
Other Information on Investing in Swatch Pink Sheet
Swatch Group financial ratios help investors to determine whether Swatch Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Swatch with respect to the benefits of owning Swatch Group security.