Swatch Valuation

SWGAF Stock  USD 221.26  0.00  0.00%   
At this time, the company appears to be overvalued. Swatch Group has a current Real Value of $180.81 per share. The regular price of the company is $221.26. Our model measures the value of Swatch Group from inspecting the company fundamentals such as Operating Margin of 0.15 %, shares outstanding of 28.9 M, and Return On Equity of 0.0696 as well as reviewing its technical indicators and probability of bankruptcy.
Overvalued
Today
221.26
Please note that Swatch's price fluctuation is very steady at this time. Calculation of the real value of Swatch Group is based on 3 months time horizon. Increasing Swatch's time horizon generally increases the accuracy of value calculation and significantly improves the predictive power of the methodology used.
The fair value of the Swatch pink sheet is determined by what a typical buyer is willing to pay for full or partial control of The Swatch Group. Since Swatch is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Swatch Pink Sheet. However, Swatch's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  221.26 Real  180.81 Hype  221.26 Naive  223.09
The real value of Swatch Pink Sheet, also known as its intrinsic value, is the underlying worth of Swatch Group Company, which is reflected in its stock price. It is based on Swatch's financial performance, growth prospects, management team, or industry conditions. The intrinsic value of Swatch's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, or news.
177.81
Downside
180.81
Real Value
243.39
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of The Swatch Group helps investors to forecast how Swatch pink sheet's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Swatch more accurately as focusing exclusively on Swatch's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
186.69208.14229.59
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
218.26221.26224.26
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
220.09223.09226.09
Details

Swatch Total Value Analysis

The Swatch Group is at this time forecasted to have takeover price of 11.02 B with market capitalization of 17.15 B, debt of 2 M, and cash on hands of 2.46 B. Please note that takeover price may be misleading and is a subject to mistakes in financial statements. We encourage investors to thoroughly investigate all of the Swatch fundamentals before making investing decisions based on enterprise value of the company
  Takeover PriceMarket CapDebt ObligationsCash
11.02 B
17.15 B
M
2.46 B

Swatch Investor Information

About 35.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.15. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Swatch Group has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.81. The entity recorded earning per share (EPS) of 16.96. The firm last dividend was issued on the 12th of May 2023. Swatch had 10:1 split on the 10th of August 2001. The Swatch Group is not in a good financial situation at this time. It has a very high probability of going through financial hardship in January.

Swatch Asset Utilization

The asset utilization indicator refers to the revenue earned for every dollar of assets a company currently reports. Swatch has an asset utilization ratio of 53.47 percent. This implies that the Company is making $0.53 for each dollar of assets. An increasing asset utilization means that The Swatch Group is more efficient with each dollar of assets it utilizes for everyday operations.

Swatch Ownership Allocation

Swatch Group shows a total of 28.9 Million outstanding shares. 30% of Swatch Group outstanding shares are owned by institutional holders. Institutional investors are typically referred to investors that purchase positions in a given stock to benefit from reduced commissions. Consequently, institutional investors are subject to different rules and regulations than regular investors. Please look out for any change in current institutional holding as this could mean something significant has changed at the company or is about to change. Please note that no matter how many assets the company owns, if the real value of the company is less than the current market value, you may not be able to make money on it.

Swatch Profitability Analysis

The company reported the revenue of 7.31 B. Net Income was 765 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 6.19 B.
Please note that valuation analysis is one of the essential comprehensive assessments in business. It evaluates Swatch's worth, which you can determine by considering its current assets, liabilities and future cash flows. The investors' valuation analysis is an important metric that will give you a perspective on different companies. It helps you know the worth of the potential investment in Swatch and how it compares across the competition.

About Swatch Valuation

The pink sheet valuation mechanism determines Swatch's current worth on a weekly basis. Our valuation model uses a comparative analysis of Swatch. We calculate exposure to Swatch's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, and relevant financial multiples and ratios and then compare them to those of Swatch's related companies.
The Swatch Group AG designs, manufactures, and sells finished watches, jewelry, and watch movements and components worldwide. The Swatch Group AG was founded in 1983 and is headquartered in BielBienne, Switzerland. Swatch Grp operates under Luxury Goods classification in the United States and is traded on OTC Exchange. It employs 31405 people.

8 Steps to conduct Swatch's Valuation Analysis

Company's valuation is the process of determining the worth of any company in monetary terms. It estimates Swatch's potential worth based on factors such as financial performance, market conditions, growth prospects, and overall economic environment. The result of company valuation is a single number representing a Company's current market value. This value can be used as a benchmark for various financial transactions such as mergers and acquisitions, initial public offerings (IPOs), or private equity investments. To conduct Swatch's valuation analysis, follow these 8 steps:
  • Gather financial information: Obtain Swatch's financial statements, including balance sheets, income statements, and cash flow statements.
  • Determine Swatch's revenue streams: Identify Swatch's primary sources of revenue, including products or services offered, target markets, and pricing strategies.
  • Analyze market data: Research Swatch's industry and market trends, including the size of the market, growth rate, and competition.
  • Establish Swatch's growth potential: Evaluate Swatch's management, business model, and growth potential.
  • Determine Swatch's financial performance: Analyze its financial statements to assess its historical performance and future potential.
  • Choose a valuation method: Consider the Company's specific circumstances and choose an appropriate valuation method, such as the discounted cash flow (DCF) or comparable analysis method.
  • Calculate the value: Apply the chosen valuation method to the financial information and market data to calculate Swatch's estimated value.
  • Review and adjust: Review the results and make necessary adjustments, considering any relevant factors that may have been missed or overlooked.
Note: This is a general outline, and different approaches and methods may be used depending on the type and size of the company being valued. We also recomment to seek professional assistance to ensure accuracy.

Swatch Growth Indicators

Investing in growth stocks can be very risky. If the company such as Swatch does not do well, investors take a loss on the stock when it is time to sell. Also, because growth stocks typically do not pay dividends, the only opportunity an investor has to make money on their investment is when they eventually sell their shares.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding51.8 M
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y-0.004
Forward Price Earnings14.4718
Retained Earnings14.3 B

Complementary Tools for Swatch Pink Sheet analysis

When running Swatch's price analysis, check to measure Swatch's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Swatch is operating at the current time. Most of Swatch's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Swatch's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Swatch's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Swatch to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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