The Swatch Group Stock Performance

SWGAF Stock  USD 211.18  10.08  4.56%   
The entity has a beta of -0.11, which indicates not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Swatch are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Swatch is likely to outperform the market. Swatch Group right now has a risk of 1.92%. Please validate Swatch skewness, and the relationship between the information ratio and day median price , to decide if Swatch will be following its existing price patterns.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days The Swatch Group has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite nearly stable basic indicators, Swatch is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to mid-run losses for the stockholders. ...more
Begin Period Cash Flow1.5 B
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-727 M
  

Swatch Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  21,340  in The Swatch Group on October 30, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (222.00) from holding The Swatch Group or give up 1.04% of portfolio value over 90 days. The Swatch Group is currently producing 6.0E-4% returns and takes up 1.9233% volatility of returns over 90 trading days. Put another way, 17% of traded pink sheets are less volatile than Swatch, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days horizon Swatch is expected to generate 90.0 times less return on investment than the market. In addition to that, the company is 2.55 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.0 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.07 per unit of volatility.

Swatch Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Swatch Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 211.18 90 days 211.18 
about 55.39
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Swatch to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 55.39 (This The Swatch Group probability density function shows the probability of Swatch Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon The Swatch Group has a beta of -0.11. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Swatch are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, The Swatch Group is likely to outperform the market. Additionally The Swatch Group has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Swatch Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Swatch

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Swatch Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
209.27211.18213.09
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
191.46193.37232.30
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
216.67218.58220.49
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
216.81220.84224.87
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Swatch. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Swatch's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Swatch's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Swatch Group.

Swatch Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Swatch is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Swatch's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold The Swatch Group, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Swatch within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.0016
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.11
σ
Overall volatility
9.60
Ir
Information ratio -0.04

Swatch Fundamentals Growth

Swatch Pink Sheet prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Swatch, and Swatch fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Swatch Pink Sheet performance.

About Swatch Performance

By analyzing Swatch's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Swatch's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Swatch has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Swatch has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
The Swatch Group AG designs, manufactures, and sells finished watches, jewelry, and watch movements and components worldwide. The Swatch Group AG was founded in 1983 and is headquartered in BielBienne, Switzerland. Swatch Grp operates under Luxury Goods classification in the United States and is traded on OTC Exchange. It employs 31405 people.

Things to note about Swatch Group performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Swatch for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Pink Sheet alerts and notifications screener for Swatch Group help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Evaluating Swatch's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Swatch's pink sheet performance include:
  • Analyzing Swatch's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Swatch's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Swatch's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Swatch's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Swatch's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Swatch's pink sheet. These opinions can provide insight into Swatch's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Swatch's pink sheet performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Swatch's pink sheet market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Complementary Tools for Swatch Pink Sheet analysis

When running Swatch's price analysis, check to measure Swatch's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Swatch is operating at the current time. Most of Swatch's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Swatch's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Swatch's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Swatch to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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