The Swatch Group Stock Technical Analysis

SWGAF Stock  USD 221.26  0.00  0.00%   
As of the 27th of January, Swatch has the Variance of 3.79, coefficient of variation of (5,382), and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.01). In relation to fundamental indicators, the technical analysis model makes it possible for you to check existing technical drivers of Swatch Group, as well as the relationship between them. Please validate Swatch Group coefficient of variation, total risk alpha, as well as the relationship between the Total Risk Alpha and skewness to decide if Swatch is priced more or less accurately, providing market reflects its prevalent price of 221.26 per share. Given that Swatch Group has variance of 3.79, we advise you to double-check The Swatch Group's current market performance to make sure the company can sustain itself at a future point.

Swatch Momentum Analysis

Momentum indicators are widely used technical indicators which help to measure the pace at which the price of specific equity, such as Swatch, fluctuates. Many momentum indicators also complement each other and can be helpful when the market is rising or falling as compared to Swatch
  
Swatch's Momentum analyses are specifically helpful, as they help investors time the market using mark points where the market can reverse. The reversal spots are usually identified through divergence between price movement and momentum.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Swatch's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Swatch is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Swatch's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Swatch 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Swatch's pink sheet what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Swatch.
0.00
10/29/2025
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 2 months and 31 days
01/27/2026
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Swatch on October 29, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding The Swatch Group or generate 0.0% return on investment in Swatch over 90 days. Swatch is related to or competes with Pandora A/S, Hikari Tsushin, Sanrio Company, Accor SA, Porsche Automobile, Porsche Automobil, and Prada Spa. The Swatch Group AG designs, manufactures, and sells finished watches, jewelry, and watch movements and components world... More

Swatch Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Swatch's pink sheet current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess The Swatch Group upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Swatch Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Swatch's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Swatch's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Swatch historical prices to predict the future Swatch's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
219.23221.26223.29
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
201.53203.56243.39
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
218.82220.84222.87
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
221.26221.26221.26
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Swatch. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Swatch's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Swatch's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Swatch Group.

Swatch January 27, 2026 Technical Indicators

Swatch Group Backtested Returns

At this point, Swatch is very steady. Swatch Group owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of 0.0418, which indicates the firm had a 0.0418 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found seventeen technical indicators for The Swatch Group, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the company. Please validate Swatch's Variance of 3.79, risk adjusted performance of (0.01), and Coefficient Of Variation of (5,382) to confirm if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0765%. Swatch has a performance score of 3 on a scale of 0 to 100. The entity has a beta of -0.18, which indicates not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Swatch are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Swatch is likely to outperform the market. Swatch Group right now has a risk of 1.83%. Please validate Swatch information ratio, as well as the relationship between the skewness and day median price , to decide if Swatch will be following its existing price patterns.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.22  

Weak reverse predictability

The Swatch Group has weak reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Swatch time series from 29th of October 2025 to 13th of December 2025 and 13th of December 2025 to 27th of January 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Swatch Group price movement. The serial correlation of -0.22 indicates that over 22.0% of current Swatch price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.22
Spearman Rank Test-0.47
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance31.12
Swatch technical pink sheet analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, pink sheet market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of Swatch technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of Swatch trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...

Swatch Group Technical Analysis

Indicator
Time Period
Execute Indicator
The output start index for this execution was twenty-four with a total number of output elements of thirty-seven. The Average True Range was developed by J. Welles Wilder in 1970s. It is one of components of the Welles Wilder Directional Movement indicators. The ATR is a measure of Swatch Group volatility. High ATR values indicate high volatility, and low values indicate low volatility.

About Swatch Technical Analysis

The technical analysis module can be used to analyzes prices, returns, volume, basic money flow, and other market information and help investors to determine the real value of The Swatch Group on a daily or weekly bases. We use both bottom-up as well as top-down valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of The Swatch Group based on its technical analysis. In general, a bottom-up approach, as applied to this company, focuses on Swatch Group price pattern first instead of the macroeconomic environment surrounding Swatch Group. By analyzing Swatch's financials, daily price indicators, and related drivers such as dividends, momentum ratios, and various types of growth rates, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of Swatch's intrinsic value. As compared to a bottom-up approach, our top-down model examines the macroeconomic factors that affect the industry/economy before zooming in to Swatch specific price patterns or momentum indicators. Please read more on our technical analysis page.

Swatch January 27, 2026 Technical Indicators

Most technical analysis of Swatch help investors determine whether a current trend will continue and, if not, when it will shift. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Swatch from various momentum indicators to cycle indicators. When you analyze Swatch charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at different other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

Swatch January 27, 2026 Daily Trend Indicators

Traders often use several different daily volumes and price technical indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Swatch stock. With literally thousands of different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

Complementary Tools for Swatch Pink Sheet analysis

When running Swatch's price analysis, check to measure Swatch's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Swatch is operating at the current time. Most of Swatch's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Swatch's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Swatch's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Swatch to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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