Tenet Healthcare Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 147.92
| THC Stock | USD 147.92 3.92 2.58% |
Tenet |
Tenet Healthcare Target Price Odds to finish over 147.92
The tendency of Tenet Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 147.92 | 90 days | 147.92 | about 97.0 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Tenet Healthcare to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 97.0 (This Tenet Healthcare probability density function shows the probability of Tenet Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Tenet Healthcare has a beta of 0.47. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Tenet Healthcare average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Tenet Healthcare will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Tenet Healthcare has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Tenet Healthcare Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Tenet Healthcare
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Tenet Healthcare. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Tenet Healthcare Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Tenet Healthcare is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Tenet Healthcare's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Tenet Healthcare, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Tenet Healthcare within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.11 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.47 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 6.14 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.05 |
Tenet Healthcare Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Tenet Healthcare for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Tenet Healthcare can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Tenet Healthcare generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Tenet Healthcare has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Tenet Healthcare is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Over 97.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Tenet Healthcare Corp Shares Gap Down to 146.28 on Nov 21 |
Tenet Healthcare Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Tenet Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Tenet Healthcare's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Tenet Healthcare's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 104.8 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.2 B |
Tenet Healthcare Technical Analysis
Tenet Healthcare's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Tenet Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Tenet Healthcare. In general, you should focus on analyzing Tenet Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Tenet Healthcare Predictive Forecast Models
Tenet Healthcare's time-series forecasting models is one of many Tenet Healthcare's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Tenet Healthcare's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Tenet Healthcare
Checking the ongoing alerts about Tenet Healthcare for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Tenet Healthcare help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Tenet Healthcare generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Tenet Healthcare has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Tenet Healthcare is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Over 97.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Tenet Healthcare Corp Shares Gap Down to 146.28 on Nov 21 |
Check out Tenet Healthcare Backtesting, Tenet Healthcare Valuation, Tenet Healthcare Correlation, Tenet Healthcare Hype Analysis, Tenet Healthcare Volatility, Tenet Healthcare History as well as Tenet Healthcare Performance. For information on how to trade Tenet Stock refer to our How to Trade Tenet Stock guide.You can also try the ETFs module to find actively traded Exchange Traded Funds (ETF) from around the world.
Is Health Care Providers & Services space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Tenet Healthcare. If investors know Tenet will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Tenet Healthcare listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 4.215 | Earnings Share 31.57 | Revenue Per Share 213.204 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.011 | Return On Assets 0.0699 |
The market value of Tenet Healthcare is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Tenet that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Tenet Healthcare's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Tenet Healthcare's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Tenet Healthcare's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Tenet Healthcare's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Tenet Healthcare's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Tenet Healthcare is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Tenet Healthcare's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.