Toast Inc Stock Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 37.01
| TOST Stock | USD 43.54 0.36 0.83% |
Toast |
Toast Target Price Odds to finish below 37.01
The tendency of Toast Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 37.01 or more in 90 days |
| 43.54 | 90 days | 37.01 | about 85.96 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Toast to drop to $ 37.01 or more in 90 days from now is about 85.96 (This Toast Inc probability density function shows the probability of Toast Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Toast Inc price to stay between $ 37.01 and its current price of $43.54 at the end of the 90-day period is about 12.53 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.37 . This usually implies as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Toast will likely underperform. Additionally Toast Inc has an alpha of 0.7147, implying that it can generate a 0.71 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Toast Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Toast
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Toast Inc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Toast's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Toast Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Toast is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Toast's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Toast Inc, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Toast within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.71 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.37 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 5.92 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.27 |
Toast Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Toast for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Toast Inc can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 3.87 B. Net Loss for the year was (246 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 516 M. | |
| Toast Inc has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Over 88.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Centaurus Financial Inc. Sells 3,300 Shares of Toast, Inc. |
Toast Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Toast Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Toast's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Toast's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 533 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.1 B |
Toast Technical Analysis
Toast's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Toast Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Toast Inc. In general, you should focus on analyzing Toast Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Toast Predictive Forecast Models
Toast's time-series forecasting models is one of many Toast's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Toast's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Toast Inc
Checking the ongoing alerts about Toast for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Toast Inc help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 3.87 B. Net Loss for the year was (246 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 516 M. | |
| Toast Inc has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Over 88.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Centaurus Financial Inc. Sells 3,300 Shares of Toast, Inc. |
Additional Tools for Toast Stock Analysis
When running Toast's price analysis, check to measure Toast's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Toast is operating at the current time. Most of Toast's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Toast's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Toast's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Toast to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.